SAISA North Points 6 JV/Comp

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV White 9 17 26
2 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 16 17 33
3 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue 22 34 56
4 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School JV 34 35 69
5 Eugene Ashley High School Eugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles 39 32 71
6 New Hanover High School New Hanover High School Wildcats 41 45 86
7 Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 57 29 86
8 Aquinas High School Aquinas High School Fighting Irish 43 59 102
9 Hough High School Hough High School Huskies 55 50 105
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV White 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 9 Olivia Burdette '25
Jonah Ridout '28
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 2 3 3 4 1 2 1 16 Garrett Davis '25 [1-7]
Savannah Bryan '28 [1-2, 5-7]
Adithya Ayandra '26 [3-4]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue 3 2 2 5 4 3 3 22 Emmy Teer '25
Sam Hemingway '27
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School JV 6 4 5 2 3 7 7 34 Thomas Bearden '27 [1-7]
Isabelle Stewart '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Sunny Mirise '28 [3-4, 7]
Eugene Ashley High School Eugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles 4 7 7 6 7 4 4 39 Violet Derry '27
Elsa Stinson '28
New Hanover High School New Hanover High School Wildcats 5 5 8 3 8 6 6 41 Jack Reuter '25
Lucian Lerose '27
Aquinas High School Aquinas High School Fighting Irish 7 6 4 8 5 8 5 43 Oliver Putnam '28 [1-2, 5-7]
Jackson Mcmullen '28 [3-4]
Jackson Mcmullen '28 [1-2, 5-7]
Oliver Putnam '28 [3-4]
Hough High School Hough High School Huskies 9 8 6 7 6 9 DNS 55 Nash Beshears '27
Sean Mcdonald '27
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 8 9 9 9 9 5 8 57 Pippa Taylor '29 [1-2, 7]
Avery Steele '28 [3-6]
Nettie Carter '27 [1-2]
Eden Romanosky '29 [3-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV White 1 2 5 2 1 4 2 17 Petra Humphrey '25
Miles Devoid '25
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 2 1 1 1 5 3 4 17 Charlie Claus '26 [1-4]
Whit Parnell '28 [5-7]
Lillie Sabine '28 [1-4]
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 4 6 2 4 7 5 1 29 Marion Smith '29 [1-7]
Elena Hollister '26 [1-2]
Gabby Falk '26 [3-4]
London Danyluk '28 [5-6]
Nettie Carter '27 [7]
Eugene Ashley High School Eugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles DNS DNS 3 3 2 1 3 32 No Show
No Show
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue 5 5 8 5 3 2 6 34 Trey Medlin '25
Carter Lynch '26
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School JV 3 3 4 7 4 7 7 35 Jacob Folk '29
Miles Beightol '29
New Hanover High School New Hanover High School Wildcats 6 4 6 6 DNF 8 5 45 No Show
No Show
Hough High School Hough High School Huskies 7 7 7 9 6 6 8 50 Ally Niekro '28 [1-7]
Austin Gerst '29 [1-6]
Sean Mcdonald '27 [7]
Aquinas High School Aquinas High School Fighting Irish 8 8 9 8 8 9 9 59 Millie Smalley '29
Isabella Carnell '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A3907390739073907390739073907
Aquinas High SchoolAquinas High School Fighting Irish4444444
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers8451845184518451845184518451
Eugene Ashley High SchoolEugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles9413941394139413941394139413
Hough High SchoolHough High School Huskies171171171171171171171
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School JV77777777777777
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue9412941294129412941294129412
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV White9411941194119411941194119411
New Hanover High SchoolNew Hanover High School Wildcats9410941094109410941094109410

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A3907390739073907390739073907
Aquinas High SchoolAquinas High School Fighting Irish4444444
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers8451845184518451845184518451
Eugene Ashley High SchoolEugene Ashley High School Screaming Eagles9413941394139413941394139413
Hough High SchoolHough High School Huskies171171171171171171171
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School JV77777777777777
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV Blue9412941294129412941294129412
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Vikings JV White9411941194119411941194119411
New Hanover High SchoolNew Hanover High School Wildcats9410941094109410941094109410

Conditions — 02/22/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1023.6 hPa

Temperature

21°F
↑ 29°F   ↓ 11°F
Feels like 13°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From SW (224°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover16% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1023.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn · SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at James Island Yacht Club: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.27
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.48 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at James Island Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at James Island Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →