Seawolf Fleet Races

HostTabor Academy
Date05/06/2025
TypePromotional
BoatC420
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 8	35	35
2	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 1	38	38
3	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 6	39	39
4	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 17	43	43
5	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 2	63	63
6	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 5	72	72
7	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 4	75	75
8	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 15	77	77
9	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 9	77	77
10	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 7	80	80
11	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 14	82	82
12	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 10	85	85
13	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 12	102	102
14	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 13	113	113
15	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 16	115	115
16	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 11	122	122
17	Tabor Academy	Seawolves 3	162	162

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	TOT	Sailors
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 8	7	5	1	1	3	10	4	2	2	35	Patrick Tomlinson '28 Will Brooks '28
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 1	4	6	3	7	2	5	3	1	7	38	Jeremy Bullock '25 Nik Shumway '27
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 6	5	7	4	3	1	9	1	6	3	39	Maria Castle '25 Charlotte Eberly '27
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 17	1	1	2	9	7	3	2	13	BYE	43	Abby Wei '27 Kay Wetmore '27
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 2	11	3	13	8	4	8	6	5	5	63	Eliza Corral '25 Hanna Anderson '26
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 5	10	2	9	2	12	7	10	12	8	72	Colin Macinnis '27 Nick Proudlove '27
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 4	6	14	15	6	11	1	7	4	11	75	Grayden Mott '25 [1-9] Lilly Menyhart '28 [1] Campbell Carr '25 [2-9]
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 15	8	9	5	10	13	11	11	9	1	77	Myles Olney '25 George Spalding '28
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 9	13	4	11	4	5	6	14	7	13	77	Claudia Bria '28 Hudson Poor '25
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 7	3	8	16	16	9	4	5	15	4	80	Ben Glennon '28 Leo Lothian '28
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 14	9	10	8	5	14	2	8	8	DSQ	82	Elizabeth Spillane '28 Lara Proudlove '28
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 10	2	12	10	14	10	12	13	3	9	85	Madeleine Carr '27 Olivia Wadsworth '27
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 12	16	11	7	15	8	16	9	14	6	102	Hayden Pyle '28 [1-9] Campbell Carr '25 [1] Tre Lorusso '27 [2-9]
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 13	14	16	14	13	6	15	12	11	12	113	Finn Ladue '27 [1-9] Yasha Chumak '28 [1] Kyle Cameron '26 [2-9]
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 16	15	15	6	11	16	13	15	10	14	115	Zach Lieberman-Wingerter '26 [1-9] Elizabeth Jacobson '26 [1] Yasha Chumak '28 [2-9]
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 11	12	13	12	12	15	14	DNF	16	10	122	Grady Gao '27 [1] Leighton Kelley '28 [2-9] Tre Lorusso '27 [1] Elizabeth Jacobson '26 [2-9]
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 3	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	162

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A
Tabor Academy Seawolves 1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Tabor Academy Seawolves 10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Tabor Academy Seawolves 11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Tabor Academy Seawolves 12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Tabor Academy Seawolves 13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Tabor Academy Seawolves 14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Tabor Academy Seawolves 15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Tabor Academy Seawolves 16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
Tabor Academy Seawolves 17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
Tabor Academy Seawolves 2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Tabor Academy Seawolves 3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Tabor Academy Seawolves 4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Tabor Academy Seawolves 5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Tabor Academy Seawolves 6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Tabor Academy Seawolves 7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Tabor Academy Seawolves 8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Tabor Academy Seawolves 9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 1	Jeremy Bullock '25	Nik Shumway '27
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 10	Madeleine Carr '27	Olivia Wadsworth '27
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 11	Grady Gao '27 [1] Leighton Kelley '28 [2-9]	Tre Lorusso '27 [1] Elizabeth Jacobson '26 [2-9]
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 12	Hayden Pyle '28 [1-9]	Campbell Carr '25 [1] Tre Lorusso '27 [2-9]
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 13	Finn Ladue '27 [1-9]	Yasha Chumak '28 [1] Kyle Cameron '26 [2-9]
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 14	Elizabeth Spillane '28	Lara Proudlove '28
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 15	Myles Olney '25	George Spalding '28
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 16	Zach Lieberman-Wingerter '26 [1-9]	Elizabeth Jacobson '26 [1] Yasha Chumak '28 [2-9]
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 17	Abby Wei '27	Kay Wetmore '27
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 2	Eliza Corral '25	Hanna Anderson '26
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 4	Grayden Mott '25 [1-9]	Lilly Menyhart '28 [1] Campbell Carr '25 [2-9]
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 5	Colin Macinnis '27	Nick Proudlove '27
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 6	Maria Castle '25	Charlotte Eberly '27
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 7	Ben Glennon '28	Leo Lothian '28
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 8	Patrick Tomlinson '28	Will Brooks '28
Tabor Academy	Seawolves 9	Claudia Bria '28	Hudson Poor '25

Conditions — 05/06/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 85% · Pressure 1021.0 hPa

Temperature

63°F

↑ 66°F ↓ 61°F

Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

9.0 kn

avg · max 10.7 kn

Gusts to 23.5 kn

From SE (142°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine6.1 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1021.0 hPa Rain0.16 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 12 kn · S 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Tabor Academy: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)

Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.

Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.08

Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.08 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tabor Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Tabor Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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