Darien High School '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.02 (fleet 1.68) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.02 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 7–16 (30%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 6–8 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 1–8 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (23 matches) the record is 7–16 against 8.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.8). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 10 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 2026 NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | skipper | 1.17 | 2.47 | 6–8 | 3.3 | +1.31 | 2.1 | 8% |
| 2025-05-03 | NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | skipper | 1.56 | -2.12 | 1–8 | 5.5 | −3.68 | 8.0 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| 2026 NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 14 | 43% | — |
| CT States 2026 | Skipper | A | 6 | 9.2 | 1.25 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA Team Racing Tournament (Terk Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Groton, CT | Skipper | B | 7 | 6.1 | 0.83 |
| NESSA Herreshoff Qualifier - Groton, CT | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.5 | 1.71 |
| CT States | Skipper | B | 7 | 5.0 | 1.51 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA Girls' Championship (Herreshoff Trophy) | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.6 | 1.19 |
| NESSA Herreshoff Qualifier- Portland, ME | Skipper | A | 8 | 2.1 | 2.13 |
| 2024 CT State Championships | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.8 | 1.34 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
