St. Patrick Catholic High School '30
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| -0.15 (fleet -0.28) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 3–3 (50%) as crew 2–10 (17%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 3–3 | — |
| Spring 2023 | 1 | — | 0–6 |
| Spring 2022 | 1 | — | 2–4 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (18 matches) the record is 5–13 against 6.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | MS Team Racing Championship | skipper | -0.16 | 1.28 | 3–3 | 2.2 | +1.44 | 0.7 | 33% |
| 2023-03-26 | Mississippi Team Racing Champs | crew | 0.75 | -2.25 | 0–6 | 1.4 | ≤−3.00 | 2.2 | >99% |
| 2022-03-27 | Mississippi Team Racing Champs | crew | 0.58 | 0.21 | 2–4 | 2.4 | −0.36 | 0.1 | 77% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| High School Spring Fling Regatta | Skipper | B | 5 | 1.4 | 0.48 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Mason Gee |  Gulfport High School |
'30 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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