Fairfield Prep '20
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.85 (fleet 1.37) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 5–9 (36%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 | 1 | 5–9 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (14 matches) the record is 5–9 against 3.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-05-18 | NESSA Team Racing Championship (Presidents Trophy) | skipper | 1.02 | 1.79 | 5–9 | 3.4 | +0.76 | 0.7 | 23% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA Team Racing Championship (Presidents Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 14 | 36% | — |
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Catholic Cup | Skipper | A | 5 | 3.6 | 1.63 |
| 2018 Atlantic Coast Championship | Skipper | A | — | — | — |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| Connecticut States | Skipper | B | 6 | 7.0 | 1.33 |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| NESSA Great Oaks Qualifier | Skipper | A | 3 | 6.0 | 0.13 |
| 2017 Gleekman Funfest | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.1 | 0.74 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Quinn Sheehan |  Georgetown University |
'23 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
