Brunswick School '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.86 (fleet 3.25) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.15 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 13–12 (52%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 13–12 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (25 matches) the record is 13–12 against 19.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−6.3). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 7 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 2026 NESSA Team Racing Champs (Presidents Trophy) | skipper | 2.22 | 0.54 | 10–10 | 14.9 | −1.68 | 4.8 | >99% |
| 2026-04-29 | FCSL 2026 Gold Cup | skipper | 2.24 | -0.16 | 3–2 | 4.4 | −2.40 | 2.2 | 99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| FCSL 2026 Gold Cup | Skipper | TR | 5 | 60% | — |
| CT States 2026 | Skipper | B | 2 | 2.0 | 3.88 |
| 2026 NESSA Team Racing Champs (Presidents Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 20 | 50% | — |
| 2026 NESSA O'Day Qualifier - Groton, CT | Skipper | B | 8 | 2.4 | 2.42 |
| 2026 NESSA Fleet Racing Championship(O'Day Trophy) | Skipper | B | 11 | 3.2 | 3.36 |
| 2026 ISSA Mallory National Championship | Skipper | B | 16 | 8.1 | 3.33 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | William Whidden |  Greenwich Academy |
'29 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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