Queen's/RMC Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 21 27 48
2 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 32 22 54
3 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 18 38 56
4 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 39 22 61
5 Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 43 29 72
6 Royal Military College Royal Military College Royal Military 58 66 124
7 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 53 76 129
8 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 63 66 129
9 University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 78 59 137
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 2 1 2 4 2 2 2 1 2 18 Justin Coplan '?? [1-9]
Chelsea Lahna '11 [1-2, 5-9]
Cassaundra Hobbs '13 [3-4]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 2 1 1 1 6 4 4 1 21 Graham Gardner '11
Sarah Mckay '12
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 5 3 8 5 3 1 1 3 3 32 No Show [1-2, 5-9]
Matthew Sullivan '13 [3-4]
Sarah Bethune '19 [1-2, 5-9]
Rachel Kim '13 [3-4]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 4 6 4 3 4 3 5 6 4 39 Mark Abraao York '12
Kate Andrews '15
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 7 5 3 7 5 4 3 2 7 43 Morgan Beals '13
Andrea Liptack '13
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 6 4 6 2 8 8 7 7 5 53 Theodore Dowling '13
Al Gutknecht '14
Royal Military College Royal Military College Royal Military 3 7 7 9 6 7 8 5 6 58 Emma Lunde '12
Jennifer Bowen '12
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 8 8 5 8 7 5 6 8 8 63 Schuyler Needham '12
Kyle Manis '12
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 9 9 9 6 9 9 9 9 9 78 Brian Street '12
Justine Zimiles '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 1 1 1 3 4 3 4 4 1 22 Peter Soosalu '12 [1-6]
Kyra Mallinson '11 [7-9]
Nicolas Trottier '11 [1-6]
Katie Pedersen '11 [7-9]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 2 2 4 2 6 1 2 1 2 22 Emerson Krock '12
Parrish Wright '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 5 4 2 1 1 6 1 3 4 27 John O'Riordan '12
Emma Pfohman '13
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 3 5 3 4 2 2 3 2 5 29 Jeffrey Gordon '13
Hillary Karsten '12
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 4 3 5 5 3 4 5 6 3 38 Charles Kowalyshyn '13 [1-9]
Kelly Farraro '11 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Sarah Losen '11 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 6 7 6 6 8 8 7 5 6 59 Anne Elise Parmentier '12
Christopher Stair '12
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 7 6 8 9 7 5 9 7 8 66 Troy Zangle '13 [1-9]
Donald Rickerson '13 [1-6]
Steven Guglielmoni '12 [7-9]
Royal Military College Royal Military College Royal Military 8 9 7 7 5 7 6 8 9 66 Alexandru Madularu '11
Jordan Hope '12
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 9 8 9 8 9 9 8 9 7 76 Kelly Sun '15
Brian Hahn '11
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders1133558810
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams33558810102
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds446699113
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions55881010224
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels669911335
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester224466991
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester991133558
Royal Military CollegeRoyal Military College Royal Military88101022446
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers10102244669

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders2244669910
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams446699112
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds55881010223
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions669911334
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels88101022445
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester33558810101
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester10102244668
Royal Military CollegeRoyal Military College Royal Military991133556
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers113355889

Conditions — 10/03/2009 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1009.1 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.0 kn
avg  ·  max 13.1 kn
Gusts to 26.0 kn
From WSW (246°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine4.6 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1009.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · W 10 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Queen's: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.22 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.23
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.36 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Queen's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Queen's, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →