Southern Series 3

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 21 21
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 34 34
3 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 36 36
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 49 49
5 Providence College Providence College Friars 1 59 59
6 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 64 64
7 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 67 67
8 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 88 88
9 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 2 91 91
10 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 95 95
11 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales 1 98 98
12 Providence College Providence College Friars 2 102 102
13 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 103 103
14 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 1 106 106
15 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 120 120
16 Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 1 125 125
17 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales 2 134 134
18 Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 2 147 147
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 3 6 3 21 Elizabeth Whipple '12 [1-6]
Stephen Sweriduk '12 [7-9]
Elizabeth Wilsterman '12 [1-6]
Stephanie Kapinos '13 [7-9]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 5 1 14 1 4 5 2 1 1 34 Alex Kavanaugh '11
Caroline Hall '12
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 10 4 1 3 3 2 1 7 5 36 Atlantic Brugman '13
Claire Sacco '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 2 3 4 9 9 3 6 5 8 49 Brennen Drysdale '11
Danielle Fougere '12
Providence College Providence College Friars 1 15 6 8 6 7 7 5 3 2 59 Ian Sutherland '12 [1-9]
Pamela Decatur '11 [1-6]
Alexandra Zweig '13 [7-9]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 6 10 12 4 5 6 10 2 9 64 Eric Schwarm '13
Daniel Goldman '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 3 12 7 12 2 10 7 4 10 67 Matthew Shapiro '13
Megan Carlson '12
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 14 13 5 7 12 15 4 12 6 88 Bryant Dunn '13
Sara Abad '11
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 2 7 8 10 13 15 4 16 11 7 91 Tim Mason '10 [1-6]
Colin Silveno '12 [7-9]
Doug Harrison '11 [1-6]
Kerry Duffy '11 [7-9]
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 18 11 3 11 10 9 11 8 14 95 Brent Lunghino '07 [1-6]
Madeleine Harvey '12 [7-9]
Christopher Gill '12 [1-6]
Brandon Kaufmann '12 [7-9]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales 1 12 5 6 16 8 11 13 14 13 98 Tyler Woodworth '09
Peter Sterflinger '17
Providence College Providence College Friars 2 9 15 11 14 14 14 8 13 4 102 Scott Brokaw '10 [1-6]
Colden Johanson '10 [7-9]
Megan Kelley '10 [1-6]
Mary Cullen '10 [7-9]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 13 14 9 15 6 16 9 9 12 103 Marshall Mclean '11
Sarah Moffitt '12
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 1 11 9 13 5 11 8 17 17 15 106 Brian Pracon '11 [1-6]
John Giuliano '11 [7-9]
James Fales '13 [1-6]
Margaret Priest '10 [7-9]
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 16 18 15 10 16 12 12 10 11 120 Jacob Tower '11 [1-9]
Brandon Kaufmann '12 [1-6]
Leslie Howitt '12 [7-9]
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 1 4 7 18 18 13 18 14 16 17 125 Alex Hering '13 [1-9]
Jessica Esposito '12 [1-6]
Dj Pothier '11 [7-9]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales 2 17 16 16 8 18 13 15 15 16 134 Kyle Puchir '13 [1-6]
Lily Doolin '18 [7-9]
Heather Valeri '11 [1-6]
Thomas Pluchino '18 [7-9]
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 2 8 17 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 147 Dj Pothier '11
Tara Chang '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 1112233445
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 2101011111212131314
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies 188991010111112
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies 21717181811223
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 1223344556
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 2111112121313141415
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales 1334455667
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales 2121213131414151516
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners 1445566778
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners 2131314141515161617
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 1556677889
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 2141415151616171718
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars 16677889910
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars 215151616171718181
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 19910101111121213
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 218181122334
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1778899101011
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2161617171818112
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 Jacob Tower '11 [1-9] Brandon Kaufmann '12 [1-6]
Leslie Howitt '12 [7-9]
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 Brent Lunghino '07 [1-6]
Madeleine Harvey '12 [7-9]
Christopher Gill '12 [1-6]
Brandon Kaufmann '12 [7-9]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 Atlantic Brugman '13 Claire Sacco '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 Elizabeth Whipple '12 [1-6]
Stephen Sweriduk '12 [7-9]
Elizabeth Wilsterman '12 [1-6]
Stephanie Kapinos '13 [7-9]
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales 1 Tyler Woodworth '09 Peter Sterflinger '17
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales 2 Kyle Puchir '13 [1-6]
Lily Doolin '18 [7-9]
Heather Valeri '11 [1-6]
Thomas Pluchino '18 [7-9]
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 1 Alex Hering '13 [1-9] Jessica Esposito '12 [1-6]
Dj Pothier '11 [7-9]
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 2 Dj Pothier '11 Tara Chang '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 Marshall Mclean '11 Sarah Moffitt '12
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 Bryant Dunn '13 Sara Abad '11
Providence College Providence College Friars 1 Ian Sutherland '12 [1-9] Pamela Decatur '11 [1-6]
Alexandra Zweig '13 [7-9]
Providence College Providence College Friars 2 Scott Brokaw '10 [1-6]
Colden Johanson '10 [7-9]
Megan Kelley '10 [1-6]
Mary Cullen '10 [7-9]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 Matthew Shapiro '13 Megan Carlson '12
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 Eric Schwarm '13 Daniel Goldman '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 1 Brian Pracon '11 [1-6]
John Giuliano '11 [7-9]
James Fales '13 [1-6]
Margaret Priest '10 [7-9]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 2 Tim Mason '10 [1-6]
Colin Silveno '12 [7-9]
Doug Harrison '11 [1-6]
Kerry Duffy '11 [7-9]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 Alex Kavanaugh '11 Caroline Hall '12
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 Brennen Drysdale '11 Danielle Fougere '12

Conditions — 09/26/2009 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1026.3 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From ESE (123°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover48% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1026.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn · SE 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →