Southern Series 6

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 15 14 29
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 20 14 34
3 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 26 19 45
4 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 18 37 55
5 Providence College Providence College Friars 22 39 61
6 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 36 25 61
7 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 52 27 79
8 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 37 70 107
9 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 55 54 109
10 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 65 51 116
11 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 63 57 120
12 Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 43 78 121
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 3 3 1 4 2 15 Nikolas Osvalds '11
Molly Bernstein '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 1 5 4 BKD 4 18 Matthew Schon '11
Nicole Ioannilli '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 4 4 1 3 2 6 20 Alden Winder '12
Courtney Crowley '12
Providence College Providence College Friars 3 2 BKD 9 1 3 22 Kevin Cassidy '11
Gregory Cassidy '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 5 4 2 8 1 26 Brendan Heussler '12
Katherine Andril '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 5 7 2 11 6 5 36 Graham Pitcairn '??
Mark Funke '12
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 7 6 6 6 3 9 37 Christopher Cason '11
Carolyn Fanning '12
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 9 8 7 5 7 7 43 Alex Hering '13
Tara Chang '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 8 12 8 7 9 8 52
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 10 9 9 12 5 10 55 Lily Doolin '18
Kyle Puchir '13
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 11 10 11 10 10 11 63 Eric Hartman '11
Emily Eshleman '13
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 12 11 10 8 11 DNF 65 James Doller '13
Benjamin Labbe '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 1 4 1 1 6 14 Kenneth Layton '10
Adriana Kopp '12
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 3 1 2 3 2 14 Jessica Claflin '13
Brandon Kaufmann '12
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 2 2 7 2 4 19 Atlantic Brugman '13
Claire Sacco '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 9 3 4 4 1 25 Chris Lajek '??
Christine Case '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 5 4 5 3 7 3 27 John Giuliano '11
Chris Nayse '10
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 6 5 7 5 5 9 37 Christopher Wands '13
Tate Tegtmeier '13
Providence College Providence College Friars 8 8 6 6 6 5 39 Marisa Woods '11
Maria Smeriglio '10
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 7 6 8 10 DNF 7 51 Lucas Campbell '13
Brittany Bridgham '13
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 10 11 9 8 8 8 54 Thomas Pluchino '18
Peter Sterflinger '17
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 9 10 10 9 9 10 57 Nick Belsito '13
Eliza Ali '16
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 11 7 DNS DNS DNS DNS 70 Tommy Holmberg '13
Eve Boyce '13
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 78 Dj Pothier '11
Laurea Chiamonter '??
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs224477
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats5519192121
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2222242422
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears113355
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies7720202222
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels191921212323
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats23231133
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners24242244
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners33551919
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars2121232311
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks44772020
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts202022222424

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Amherst CollegeAmherst College Lord Jeffs33551919
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats7720202222
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears23231133
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears224477
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies191921212323
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels202022222424
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats24242244
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners113355
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners44772020
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars2222242422
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks5519192121
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts2121232311

Conditions — 10/17/2009 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1019.0 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.4 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 23.5 kn
From NNE (27°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover84% Sunshine5.4 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1019.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn · N 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Providence: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.23
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.28 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Providence by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Providence, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →