Southern Series 7

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 5 5 10
2 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 24 12 36
3 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 16 24 40
4 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 27 13 40
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 26 16 42
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 32 16 48
7 Yale University Yale University Elis 18 31 49
8 Providence College Providence College Friars 15 35 50
9 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 22 46 68
10 Williams College Williams College Williams 37 36 73
11 Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 43 41 84
12 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 47 37 84
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 1 1 1 5 Michael Marshall '11
Elizabeth Wilsterman '12
Providence College Providence College Friars 1 6 6 2 15 Kevin Cassidy '11
Gregory Cassidy '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 5 2 6 16 Andrew Kurzrok '11
Grace Zimmerly '13
Yale University Yale University Elis 5 2 3 8 18 John Vrolyk '10
Isabel Elliman '12
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 11 3 5 3 22 Angus Page '12
Caroline Eisenmann '12
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 8 4 4 24 Matthew Schon '11
Nicole Ioannilli '13
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 4 9 7 26 Madeleine Harvey '12
Christopher Gill '12
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 4 10 8 5 27 Brennen Drysdale '11
Elizabeth Fusco '11
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 7 9 7 9 32 Reeve Dunne '10
Christine Stevralra '??
Williams College Williams College Williams 10 7 10 10 37 Timothy Lorenzen '12
Katherine Hawkins '10
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 9 12 11 11 43 Alex Hering '13
Tara Chang '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 12 11 12 12 47 James Fales '13
Jenna Roettiger '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 1 1 1 5 Matt Sterett '10
Samuel Parish '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 2 3 2 12 Kyle Carney '13
Molly Monarchio '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 3 2 7 13 Alex Kavanaugh '11
Emma De Aguiar '11
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 5 5 3 16 Jacob Tower '11
Brandon Kaufmann '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 4 4 4 16 John Evans '12
Laura Liddell '12
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 6 7 6 5 24 Nathan Stevens '11
Senem Cilingiroglu '13
Yale University Yale University Elis 7 11 7 6 31 Zachary Foreman '13 [1-2]
Christopher Ell '12 [3-4]
Juliana Hanle '13 [1-2]
Providence College Providence College Friars 8 6 9 12 35 Colden Johanson '10
Martha Kingman '12
Williams College Williams College Williams 10 8 10 8 36 Alexander Crowell '10
Mary Anne Ludwig '12
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 11 9 8 9 37 Eleanor Leonard '13
Andrew Reynolds '12
Mitchell College Mitchell College Mariners 9 10 11 11 41 Dj Pothier '11
Walter Rogachenko '10
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 12 12 12 10 46 Gabriel Elder '11
Maritza Ebling '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears1133
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies881010
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels2244
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners3355
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars4466
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams5577
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks6688
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos7799
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals991111
Williams CollegeWilliams College Williams10101212
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs111111
Yale UniversityYale University Elis121222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2244
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies991111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels3355
Mitchell CollegeMitchell College Mariners4466
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars5577
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams6688
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks7799
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos881010
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals10101212
Williams CollegeWilliams College Williams111111
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs121222
Yale UniversityYale University Elis1133

Conditions — 10/24/2009 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 1009.0 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.4 kn
avg  ·  max 12.7 kn
Gusts to 34.2 kn
From S (177°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine3.5 hrs Humidity89% Pressure1009.0 hPa Rain0.18 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Yale: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.34 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Yale by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Yale).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →