Finger Lakes Women's

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 20 18 38
2 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 35 39 74
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 50 31 81
4 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 19 64 83
5 Boston University Boston University Terriers 53 55 108
6 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 70 54 124
7 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 70 58 128
8 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 71 69 140
9 Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 84 70 154
10 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 78 93 171
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 3 1 1 2 1 1 2 5 1 2 19 Caroline Patten '11
Jane Rew '14
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 4 3 1 2 3 1 2 2 1 20 Marlena Fauer '14
Eugenia Custo Greig '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 2 5 3 3 6 7 1 3 3 35 Morgan Wilson '11
Shannon Wilkins '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 9 7 2 4 5 2 4 7 5 5 50 Marissa Lihan '14
Jocelynn Knudsen '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 6 4 5 4 7 9 4 6 4 53 Caroline Wilhelm '11
Catherine Droser '13
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 5 5 6 9 6 9 6 6 9 9 70 Ryann Hall '11
Elizabeth Wegmann '12
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 7 10 7 8 7 5 8 8 4 6 70 Hillary Paulsen '13 [1-10]
Anisha Chopra '13 [1-6]
Rebecca Macies '14 [7-10]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 8 3 9 10 8 8 5 3 7 10 71 Mary Cummins '11
Margaux Stutz '11
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 6 8 8 6 9 4 10 10 10 7 78 Heather Richardson '13
Jen Bowen '14
Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 10 9 10 7 10 10 3 9 8 8 84 Julie Webster '11
Talia Steiman '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 1 1 2 1 1 4 5 1 1 18 Genoa Warner '12
Stephanie Schuyler '12
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 4 2 5 4 2 2 1 2 6 31 Killian Corbishley '14
Laura Burzenski '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 2 3 4 5 3 1 3 6 4 39 Corina Radtke '14
Jordan Stock '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 7 6 3 3 8 7 7 4 5 54 Amanda Tooker '11
Mia Cooper '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 6 7 1 8 6 8 2 8 7 55 Erica Lush '14
Caitlin Goodrich '14
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 5 3 4 8 2 7 3 8 9 9 58 Lauren Turner '13 [1-10]
Erin Ahlers '13 [1-6]
Emma Lejeune '13 [7-10]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 7 8 5 6 6 4 9 9 7 3 64 Brooke Lyon '14
Camille Conover '14
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 6 5 9 7 7 10 6 6 5 8 69 Michelle Czarnecki '12
Adelaide Davis '13
Hamilton College Hamilton College Hamilton 10 10 8 9 10 9 5 4 3 2 70 Leeds Pierce '12
Hannah Allen '14
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 9 9 DNS 10 9 5 10 10 10 10 93 Sydney Goodfellow '12
Gia Gill '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1133557799
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red224466881010
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams3355779911
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Hamilton446688101022
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen5577991133
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen668810102244
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs7799113355
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels881010224466
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers9911335577
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs101022446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers224466881010
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red3355779911
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams446688101022
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Hamilton5577991133
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen668810102244
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen7799113355
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs881010224466
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels9911335577
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers101022446688
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1133557799

Conditions — 10/02/2010 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1017.3 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 14.4 kn
From N (0°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1017.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hobart & William Sm: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.15)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hobart & William Sm by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (30 labelled days at Hobart & William Sm).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →