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SAISA South Points #6

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 29 20 49
2 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 21 33 54
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 28 29 57
4 Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 42 21 63
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 29 39 68
6 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 44 53 97
7 Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 59 73 132
8 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 74 67 141
9 New College New College New College 90 90 180
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 3 3 2 3 1 4 2 1 2 21 Adam Harris '12
Chloe Mallet '12
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 1 2 5 1 2 3 7 6 1 28 Amy Baxter '13
Saige Liparulo '13
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 2 1 3 6 3 6 1 4 3 29 Solvig Sayre '14
Lissa Mcclung '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 5 4 1 2 4 2 5 2 4 29 Adam Deprimo '11
Kaitlin Kramer '13
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 7 6 4 4 5 5 3 3 5 42 Tristan Jackson '11
Caroline Leed '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 6 5 6 5 6 1 4 5 6 44 Jonathon Ellington '11
Stephanie Lawler '11
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 4 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 59 Robert Clendening '11
Sarah Heckler '11
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles DNF 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 74 Benamin Breitberg '12
Maximilian Boeckmann '13
New College New College New College DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 90
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 1 2 4 1 1 4 2 2 3 20 Walker Banks '14
Rachel Cruz '14
Rollins College Rollins College Rollins 4 3 1 4 2 1 1 4 1 21 Jonathon Norcross '11
Matthew Smith '11
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 3 5 2 2 4 2 3 6 2 29 Michael Hemberger '13
Alexander Stader '14
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 5 4 6 3 3 3 4 1 4 33 Sean Vandedrinck '14
Zachary Hall '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 2 1 3 5 5 7 6 5 5 39 Kimberly Calnan '12
Terra Berlinski '11
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 6 6 5 DNF 6 5 5 3 7 53 Mike Hartley '14
Daniel Hager '12
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 7 7 7 DNF 7 6 8 7 8 67 Case Aubin '11
Joel Hurley '14
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles DNF 8 8 DNF 8 8 7 8 6 73 Catherine Gorman '12
Claire Gorman '14
New College New College New College DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 90
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 1112233445
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 2223344556
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles334455667
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles445566778
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech556677889
New CollegeNew College New College667788991
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins778899112
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 1889911223
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 2991122334

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 1101011111212131314
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 2111112121313141415
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles121213131414151516
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles131314141515161617
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech141415151616171718
New CollegeNew College New College151516161717181810
Rollins CollegeRollins College Rollins161617171818101011
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 1171718181010111112
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 2181810101111121213

Conditions — 10/16/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1017.6 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 7.1 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From NNW (346°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1017.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Eckerd: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.24 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Eckerd by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (55 labelled days at Eckerd).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →