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SAISA Women's

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 21 15 36
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 19 20 39
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 29 25 54
4 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 37 33 70
5 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 29 42 71
6 Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 54 55 109
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 3 2 3 1 1 4 3 19 Corey Hall '12
Sarah Somes '13
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 2 1 5 1 3 2 3 2 21 Charlotte Dorris '11
Lara Dallman-Weiss '11
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 3 4 2 3 5 5 4 2 1 29 Caroline Wright '12
Celina Cerf '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 4 3 4 1 4 2 5 1 5 29 Abby Featherstone '13 [1-9]
Kirsten Hunt '11 [1-8]
Alexandra Martinez '14 [9]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 5 5 4 2 4 3 5 4 37 Amy Gaylord '12
Chelsea Carlson '13
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 54
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 15 Emilie Mademann '12
Millicent Gerlak '12
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 2 1 3 2 1 1 3 4 20 Grace Lucas '14 [1-8]
Carly Shevitz '14 [9]
Carly Shevitz '14 [1-8]
Nicole Hause '14 [9]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 4 3 2 4 4 3 1 2 25
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 3 4 5 3 3 4 5 1 33 Nicole Popp '12 [1-9]
Nikki Bruno '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Chelsea Rivera '12 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 4 5 5 4 5 5 5 4 5 42 Catie Skipp '13
Catherine Burns '11
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University Eagles DNS 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 55 Renae Levor '12
Desiree Gonzalez '11
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars112233445
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons221166554
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators334455661
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles443322116
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes665544332
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls556611223

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars778899101011
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons88771212111110
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators991010111112127
Florida Gulf Coast UniversityFlorida Gulf Coast University Eagles101099887712
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes121211111010998
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1111121277889
School / Team SkipperCrew
College of Charleston College of Charleston Corey Hall '12 Sarah Somes '13
Cougars Grace Lucas '14 [1-8]
Carly Shevitz '14 [9]		 Carly Shevitz '14 [1-8]
Nicole Hause '14 [9]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Charlotte Dorris '11 Lara Dallman-Weiss '11
Tritons Emilie Mademann '12 Millicent Gerlak '12
Florida Gulf Coast University Florida Gulf Coast University
Eagles Renae Levor '12 Desiree Gonzalez '11
University of Florida University of Florida Caroline Wright '12 Celina Cerf '13
Gators Catie Skipp '13 Catherine Burns '11
University of Miami University of Miami Amy Gaylord '12 Chelsea Carlson '13
Hurricanes Nicole Popp '12 [1-9] Nikki Bruno '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Chelsea Rivera '12 [3-4, 7-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Abby Featherstone '13 [1-9] Kirsten Hunt '11 [1-8]
Alexandra Martinez '14 [9]
Bulls

Conditions — 09/26/2010 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1010.9 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 87°F   ↓ 78°F
Feels like 91°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.9 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From SSE (156°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1010.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Eckerd: a favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.21 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Eckerd by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (55 labelled days at Eckerd).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →