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Frosh/Soph

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Thunder Thunder Thunder 15 10 25
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 15 26 41
3 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 34 13 47
4 British Columbia British Columbia British Columbia 25 31 56
5 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 24 32 56
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 29 28 57
7 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 36 35 71
8 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 58 48 106
9 Puget Sound 1 Puget Sound 1 Puget Sound 1 56 56 112
10 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 55 61 116
11 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 56 65 121
12 Puget Sound 2 Puget Sound 2 Puget Sound 2 65 63 128
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 1 4 1 1 4 4 15 Andrew Colebrook '16
Jackson Dean '12
Thunder Thunder Thunder 8 1 2 2 1 1 15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 3 5 7 5 2 2 24 Carly Temple-Wareham '15
Nicole Chavez '13
British Columbia British Columbia British Columbia 2 2 5 7 3 6 25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 5 6 6 4 5 3 29 Greyson Spencer '13
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 7 3 8 7 5 34 Samuel Fletcher '13
Parker Steichen '14
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 11 3 4 3 6 9 36 Scott Van Bergen '15
Alyssa Staples '14
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 9 10 10 9 9 8 55 Breton Zyirek '14
Stephanie Mendoza '13
Puget Sound 1 Puget Sound 1 Puget Sound 1 7 9 8 10 11 11 56
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 10 11 11 6 8 10 56 Evan Derickson '13
Keegan Strandness '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 6 8 9 11 12 12 58 Elise Dresel '15
Chris Chaves '14
Puget Sound 2 Puget Sound 2 Puget Sound 2 12 12 12 12 10 7 65
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Thunder Thunder Thunder 1 2 1 1 3 2 10
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 3 4 2 1 1 13 Michael Mallory '15
Lily Grimshaw '15
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 5 5 6 6 4 2 3 26 Taylor Martin '16
Amanda Martelli '13
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 6 1 5 5 7 4 28 Ashley Krzeszowski '15
Morwenna Probert-Baker '14
British Columbia British Columbia British Columbia 3 7 3 3 6 9 31
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 4 5 7 7 4 5 32 Jessica Bennett '12 [1-6]
Debbi Kenote '13 [1-3]
Kirsten Campbell '13 [4-6]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 1 7 9 2 6 5 6 35 Brianne Busey '14
Sarah Derby '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 9 8 8 8 8 7 48 Margaret Okrasinski '15
Rachael Mccrady '14
Puget Sound 1 Puget Sound 1 Puget Sound 1 8 4 10 12 10 12 56
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 10 12 9 10 12 8 61 Michael Calhoun '13
Jennifer Russell '15
Puget Sound 2 Puget Sound 2 Puget Sound 2 12 11 12 9 9 10 63
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 11 10 11 11 11 11 65 Abraham Dons-Borreguero '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
British ColumbiaBritish Columbia British Columbia888888
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 1787878787878
Puget Sound 1Puget Sound 1 Puget Sound 1838383838383
Puget Sound 2Puget Sound 2 Puget Sound 2848484848484
ThunderThunder Thunder858585858585
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1272727272727

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
British ColumbiaBritish Columbia British Columbia888888
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings 1787878787878
Puget Sound 1Puget Sound 1 Puget Sound 1838383838383
Puget Sound 2Puget Sound 2 Puget Sound 2848484848484
ThunderThunder Thunder858585858585
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818181818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1272727272727

Conditions — 11/05/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1009.3 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 37°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.9 kn
avg  ·  max 4.3 kn
Gusts to 12.2 kn
From E (84°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1009.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 5 kn · W 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Western Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.20 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.25
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Western Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (23 labelled days at Western Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →