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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bears Bears Bears 11 7 18
2 Beavers Beavers Beavers 16 6 22
3 Jumbos Jumbos Jumbos 12 11 23
4 Terriers Terriers Terriers 22 23 45
5 Judges Judges Judges 20 25 45
6 Colby Colby Colby 15 34 49
7 Huskies Huskies Huskies 21 32 53
8 Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 34 24 58
9 Huskies Huskies Huskies 37 26 63
10 Blue Blue Blue 32 32 64
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT
Bears Bears Bears 1 2 3 5 11
Jumbos Jumbos Jumbos 2 3 1 6 12
Colby Colby Colby 3 6 2 4 15
Beavers Beavers Beavers 4 4 5 3 16
Judges Judges Judges 6 1 6 7 20
Huskies Huskies Huskies 7 5 7 2 21
Terriers Terriers Terriers 5 7 9 1 22
Blue Blue Blue 10 10 4 8 32
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 8 8 8 10 34
Huskies Huskies Huskies 9 9 10 9 37
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT
Beavers Beavers Beavers 1 1 2 2 6
Bears Bears Bears 3 2 1 1 7
Jumbos Jumbos Jumbos 2 3 3 3 11
Terriers Terriers Terriers 6 6 4 7 23
Wildcats Wildcats Wildcats 7 7 5 5 24
Judges Judges Judges 9 4 6 6 25
Huskies Huskies Huskies 10 5 7 4 26
Blue Blue Blue 4 9 10 9 32
Huskies Huskies Huskies 8 8 8 8 32
Colby Colby Colby 5 10 9 10 34
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
TerriersTerriers Terriers3344
JudgesJudges Judges1122
BearsBears Bears2211
ColbyColby Colby4433
HuskiesHuskies Huskies8877
BeaversBeavers Beavers5566
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats991010
HuskiesHuskies Huskies6655
JumbosJumbos Jumbos7788
BlueBlue Blue101099

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
TerriersTerriers Terriers8899
JudgesJudges Judges5577
BearsBears Bears7755
ColbyColby Colby9988
HuskiesHuskies Huskies3322
BeaversBeavers Beavers111010
WildcatsWildcats Wildcats4466
HuskiesHuskies Huskies101011
JumbosJumbos Jumbos2233
BlueBlue Blue6644

Conditions — 11/05/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1030.4 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 33°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From N (356°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover4% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1030.4 hPa

What this breeze does at Tufts — from fleet racing

Breeze: N about 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Tufts in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tufts by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (60 labelled fleet-race days at Tufts).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →