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SAISA South Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 13 11 24
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 25 28 53
3 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 37 20 57
4 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 49 25 74
5 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 44 59 103
6 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 55 51 106
7 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 25 86 111
8 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 72 51 123
9 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 66 74 140
10 Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 71 75 146
11 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 90 62 152
12 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 77 82 159
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 1 13 Bryan White '13
Tara Levy '12
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 2 2 4 5 4 2 2 4 25 Benjamin Mohney '15
Kyle Pond '15
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 3 7 3 2 5 1 1 3 25 Kaye Siemers '13
Rachel Cruz '14
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 3 2 7 7 6 5 2 37 Taylor Scheuermann '15
Bryce Scarfone '15
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 6 4 5 3 8 9 3 6 44 Ian Nora '14
Andrew Shipman '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 4 5 6 4 2 11 8 9 49 Sydney Jones '13
Tiffani Coleman '13
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 8 9 12 6 3 4 6 7 55 Andrew Krellenstein '15
Tiffany Flor '14
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 7 8 7 9 6 8 10 11 66 Rheanna King '14
Claire Abberger '15
Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 11 11 9 8 10 10 7 5 71 Alexander Stewart '13
Cree Townsend '15
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 10 10 8 11 11 5 9 8 72 Sean Vandedrinck '14
Chloe Mallet '12
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 9 6 10 12 9 7 12 12 77 Lily Everson '12 [1-4]
David Horton '12 [5-8]
Coulter Fordham '15 [1-4]
Lily Everson '12 [5-8]
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 12 12 11 10 12 12 11 10 90 Elliot Evins '13 [1-8]
Maria Phillips '13 [1-4]
Richard Zay '14 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 11 William Felder '12
Candace Brewer '13
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 4 4 2 2 1 1 4 20 Christine Desilva '15
Kara Voss '15
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 4 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 25 Colleen Hartman '13
Michelle Graham '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 3 1 3 4 6 6 3 2 28 Matthew Whitehead '15
Thomas Hamby '15
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Florida Tech 5 10 5 6 4 7 8 6 51 Zachary Hall '13
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 6 5 6 7 7 9 6 5 51 Seth Barrows '15
Meredith Weber '14
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 7 6 10 8 5 8 5 10 59 Mitchell Wilkins '14
Katelyn Ruppert '13
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 8 8 7 5 9 10 7 8 62 Michael Long '14 [1-8]
Patrick Tonissen '15 [1-4]
Gabriel Monterrosa Metairon '15 [5-8]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 9 12 9 9 8 11 9 7 74 Thomas Monson '14
Nicholas Algozzine '15
Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 12 7 8 10 11 5 10 12 75 Alexander Stewart '13
Cree Townsend '15
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 10 11 12 12 10 4 12 11 82 Kyle Kavanagh '15 [1-4]
Jenna Spangler '14 [5-8]
Jenna Spangler '14 [1-4]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 11 9 11 11 12 12 11 9 86 Danielle Kaminski '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (51 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 111335577
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 2221212101088
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators5577991111
Florida Atlantic UniversityFlorida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic33557799
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech442212121010
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville6644221212
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes7799111111
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College88664422
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars9911111133
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 11010886644
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 21111113355
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 3121210108866

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 122446688
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 21111119977
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators668810101212
Florida Atlantic UniversityFlorida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic4466881010
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Florida Tech3311111199
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville5533111111
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes881010121222
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College77553311
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars101012122244
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 199775533
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 21212224466
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls 31111997755

Conditions — 09/17/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1017.9 hPa

Temperature

84°F
↑ 88°F   ↓ 75°F
Feels like 91°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 4.7 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From ENE (66°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover15% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1017.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at South Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →