SAISA South Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 14 5 19
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 8 12 20
3 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 25 7 32
4 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 12 23 35
5 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 17 25 42
6 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 16 26 42
7 Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 20 28 48
8 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 32 18 50
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 3 1 3 8 Kyle Pond '15
Morgan Barrios '13
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 3 5 3 1 12 Patrick Arrington '15
Thomas Monson '14
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 4 2 2 6 14 Walker Banks '14
Lauren Webster '15
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 5 1 6 4 16 Jason Limbach '12
Johnathan Ricks '15
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 2 4 4 7 17 Lily Everson '12 [1-4]
Kyle Kavanagh '15 [1-2]
Jenna Spangler '14 [3-4]
Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 7 6 5 2 20 Alexander Stewart '13
Cree Townsend '15
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 6 7 7 5 25 Lucas Hickling '15 [1-4]
Jared Payne '14 [1-2]
Brian Law '12 [3-4]
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 8 8 8 8 32 Michael Long '14
Patrick Tonissen '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 2 1 1 5 Erik Brydges '14
Jenna Behnke '15
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 1 2 2 7 Laura Hernandez '15 [1-4]
Bryce Scarfone '15 [1-2]
Kevin Kahover '15 [3]
Abby Bernbach '13 [4]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 3 3 3 12 Eric Amos '15
Evan Russell '14
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 5 5 4 4 18 Elliot Evins '13
James Dickey '15
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 6 6 6 5 23 Daniel Schulman '14
Ryan Johnson '14
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 4 7 8 6 25 Daniel Moore '12 [1-2]
David Horton '12 [3-4]
Michael Melzer '12 [1-2]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 7 4 7 8 26 Mitchell Wilkins '14
Sarah Lugo Rudner '12
Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic 8 8 5 7 28 Adrian Desilva '?? [1-4]
Booke Belcher '?? [1-2]
Stacy Talyanker '15 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1122
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators3344
Florida Atlantic UniversityFlorida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic2211
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville4433
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes5566
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College6655
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars7788
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls8877

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons3344
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators5566
Florida Atlantic UniversityFlorida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic4433
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville6655
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes7788
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College8877
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars1122
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls2211
School / Team SkipperCrew
Eckerd College Eckerd College Walker Banks '14 Lauren Webster '15
Tritons Erik Brydges '14 Jenna Behnke '15
Florida Atlantic University Florida Atlantic University Alexander Stewart '13 Cree Townsend '15
Florida Atlantic Adrian Desilva '?? [1-4] Booke Belcher '?? [1-2]
Stacy Talyanker '15 [3-4]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Lily Everson '12 [1-4] Kyle Kavanagh '15 [1-2]
Jenna Spangler '14 [3-4]
Jacksonville Daniel Moore '12 [1-2]
David Horton '12 [3-4]
Michael Melzer '12 [1-2]
New College of Florida New College of Florida Michael Long '14 Patrick Tonissen '15
New College Elliot Evins '13 James Dickey '15
Rollins College Rollins College Jason Limbach '12 Johnathan Ricks '15
Tars Mitchell Wilkins '14 Sarah Lugo Rudner '12
University of Florida University of Florida Patrick Arrington '15 Thomas Monson '14
Gators Daniel Schulman '14 Ryan Johnson '14
University of Miami University of Miami Lucas Hickling '15 [1-4] Jared Payne '14 [1-2]
Brian Law '12 [3-4]
Hurricanes Laura Hernandez '15 [1-4] Bryce Scarfone '15 [1-2]
Kevin Kahover '15 [3]
Abby Bernbach '13 [4]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Kyle Pond '15 Morgan Barrios '13
Bulls Eric Amos '15 Evan Russell '14

Conditions — 10/09/2011 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1009.4 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 87°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.9 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From N (359°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1009.4 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at U. Miami: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.24 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U. Miami by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (20 labelled days at U. Miami).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →