Boiler Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Purdue University Purdue University Purdue 1 24 15 39
2 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 18 33 51
3 Miami University Miami University Miami University 38 29 67
4 University of Toledo University of Toledo Toledo 40 29 69
5 Purdue University Purdue University Purdue 2 31 46 77
6 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 59 58 117
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 2 3 5 1 1 1 2 1 1 18 Patrick Power '15 [1-2, 5-10]
John Schneider '16 [3-4]
John Schneider '16 [1-2, 7-10]
Madeleine Skorcz '15 [3-6]
Purdue University Purdue University Purdue 1 2 5 2 1 4 2 2 1 2 3 24 Evan Williams '11
Jean Ruggiero '15
Purdue University Purdue University Purdue 2 3 1 1 4 5 4 5 3 3 2 31 Gus Arndt '15 [1-6]
Jon Schoenwetter '16 [7-8]
Phil Holt '14 [9-10]
Ian Hamilton '13 [1-8]
Jessica Traver '13 [9-10]
Miami University Miami University Miami University 6 4 5 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 38 Andrew Wilkening '15
Caroline Kerner '15
University of Toledo University of Toledo Toledo 4 3 4 3 3 5 4 5 5 4 40 Christopher Fortesue '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Andrew Logan '15 [5]
Thomas Irwin '13 [6, 9-10]
Miruna Scutea '13 [1-4, 7-10]
Thomas Irwin '13 [5]
Andrew Logan '15 [6]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 59 Michelle Mckee '13
Jesse Magana '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Purdue University Purdue University Purdue 1 2 1 1 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 15 Grant Pollock '16
David Mirkhaef '15
University of Toledo University of Toledo Toledo 3 3 4 4 1 2 3 4 2 3 29 Eric Frissell '11 [1-2, 5-10]
Delaney Imbler '17 [3-4]
Katlyn Smelser '13 [1-2, 5-10]
Taylor Linder '16 [3-4]
Miami University Miami University Miami University 4 2 2 2 4 3 4 3 3 2 29 Max Burson '16
Peter Hilsch '16
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 4 3 1 5 6 2 2 4 5 33 Anne Schoenwetter '14 [1, 3-4, 7-10]
Rebecca Jegier '15 [2, 5-6]
Rebecca Jegier '15 [1, 7-8]
Anne Schoenwetter '14 [2]
Ryan Schultheis '15 [3-6, 9-10]
Purdue University Purdue University Purdue 2 5 5 5 6 2 4 5 5 5 4 46 Christine Mckee '15 [1-4, 7-10]
Brian Rosensteel '13 [5-6]
Connor Restadius '14 [1-4, 7-10]
Christopher Charleson '13 [5-6]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 6 6 6 5 6 5 6 6 6 6 58 Sean Francois '13
Michael Metzen '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers4455661122
Miami UniversityMiami University Miami University5544332211
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish6611223344
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Purdue 11166554433
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Purdue 22233445566
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Toledo3322116655

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers1122334455
Miami UniversityMiami University Miami University2211665544
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish3344556611
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Purdue 14433221166
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Purdue 25566112233
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Toledo6655443322
School / Team SkipperCrew
Indiana University Indiana University Michelle Mckee '13 Jesse Magana '13
Hoosiers Sean Francois '13 Michael Metzen '14
Miami University Miami University Andrew Wilkening '15 Caroline Kerner '15
Miami University Max Burson '16 Peter Hilsch '16
Purdue University Purdue University Evan Williams '11 Jean Ruggiero '15
Purdue 1 Grant Pollock '16 David Mirkhaef '15
Purdue University Purdue University Gus Arndt '15 [1-6]
Jon Schoenwetter '16 [7-8]
Phil Holt '14 [9-10]
Ian Hamilton '13 [1-8]
Jessica Traver '13 [9-10]
Purdue 2 Christine Mckee '15 [1-4, 7-10]
Brian Rosensteel '13 [5-6]
Connor Restadius '14 [1-4, 7-10]
Christopher Charleson '13 [5-6]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Patrick Power '15 [1-2, 5-10]
John Schneider '16 [3-4]
John Schneider '16 [1-2, 7-10]
Madeleine Skorcz '15 [3-6]
Fighting Irish Anne Schoenwetter '14 [1, 3-4, 7-10]
Rebecca Jegier '15 [2, 5-6]
Rebecca Jegier '15 [1, 7-8]
Anne Schoenwetter '14 [2]
Ryan Schultheis '15 [3-6, 9-10]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Christopher Fortesue '13 [1-4, 7-8]
Andrew Logan '15 [5]
Thomas Irwin '13 [6, 9-10]
Miruna Scutea '13 [1-4, 7-10]
Thomas Irwin '13 [5]
Andrew Logan '15 [6]
Toledo Eric Frissell '11 [1-2, 5-10]
Delaney Imbler '17 [3-4]
Katlyn Smelser '13 [1-2, 5-10]
Taylor Linder '16 [3-4]

Conditions — 09/01/2012 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 91%  ·  Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From SE (136°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity91% Pressure1016.4 hPa Rain0.45 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 4 kn · E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Purdue: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.18 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.29
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.40 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Purdue by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Purdue, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →