Protest Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 51
2 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 73
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 75
4 Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs 100
5 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 141
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Bates College Bates College Bobcats A 3 1 3 2 1 6 3 4 23 John Cappetta '16
Camilla Nivison '14
Bates College Bates College Bobcats B 7 7 1 1 2 3 2 5 28 Mackenzie Macrae '16
Camille Campion '16
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs A 5 4 4 7 3 4 1 1 29 Johannes Raatz '15
Alex Dion '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 2 5 2 3 6 2 5 7 32 Kate Levinson '15
Katrina Miaoulis '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 4 3 6 5 5 7 4 2 36 Zach Shapiro '15
Lukas Scott '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 1 2 7 6 4 5 6 6 37 Becker Awqatty '14
Forest Franzose '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 6 6 5 8 7 1 7 3 43 Kate Shaner '16
Claire Brodie '16
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech A 8 8 8 4 9 9 9 9 64 Mike Brendlinger '14
Ryan Baker '15
Amherst College Amherst College Lord Jeffs B 9 10 9 9 10 8 8 8 71 Marco Catipovic '14
Rebecca Uttormark '16
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech B 10 9 10 10 8 10 10 10 77 Peter Chambers '15
Jessie Ciulla '16

Conditions — 10/07/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1016.9 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 12.1 kn
From SW (224°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine5.3 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1016.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bates: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.38 ± 0.28)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bates by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Bates, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →