SAISA South Points #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 7 16 23
2 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 8 15 23
3 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 18 12 30
4 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 14 17 31
5 Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 19 16 35
6 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 28 11 39
7 New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 18 25 43
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 1 4 1 7 Erik Brydges '14
Samuel Scales '16
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 2 1 2 8 Paul Perry '15
Candace Brewer '13
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 3 6 3 14 Ben Jassin '13 [1-2]
Matthew Hecht '16 [3-4]
Matthew Hecht '16 [1-2]
Ben Jassin '13 [3-4]
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 4 4 5 5 18 Elliot Evins '13
Maria Phillips '13
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 5 6 3 4 18 Evan Miller '14
Natalie Viera '13
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 6 5 2 6 19 William Layne '16
Joel Hurley '14
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 7 7 7 7 28 Chad Murray '15 [1-4]
Jordan Anduaga-Todd '14 [1-3]
Michelle Assaly '14 [4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 1 1 5 11 Benjamin Getchell '16
Alexis Ryan '16
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 2 3 3 4 12 Jasper Curry '14
Celina Cerf '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 7 6 1 15 Darcy Jensen '16
Rebecca Campbell '16
Embry-Riddle University Embry-Riddle University Eagles 3 5 5 3 16 Joseph Geller '16
Trevor Johnson '16
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 6 6 2 2 16 Seth Barrows '15
Amanda Smith '15
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 2 4 6 17 Lucas Hickling '15
William Evans '16
New College of Florida New College of Florida New College 7 4 7 7 25 Richard Zay '14
Connor Wells '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1133
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles2288
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators4422
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes5577
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College6644
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars7711
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls8866

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons2244
Embry-Riddle UniversityEmbry-Riddle University Eagles1177
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators3311
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes6688
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida New College5533
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars8822
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls7755

Conditions — 09/29/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1014.1 hPa

Temperature

82°F
↑ 87°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 89°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
1.8 kn
avg  ·  max 2.4 kn
Gusts to 10.9 kn
From ENE (63°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine8.8 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1014.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.45 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Florida, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →