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# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 42
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 73
3 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 108
4 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 156
5 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 169
6 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 195
7 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 227
8 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 254
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 1 3 2 1 4 5 1 1 3 21 Charles Proctor '14
Elizabeth Keys '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 2 2 1 2 3 4 3 2 2 21 Jacob Denney '13
Mara Rettig '15
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 B 8 5 6 3 6 2 2 3 1 36 Patrick Penwell '16
Kaitlin Cornwall '16
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 A 4 1 4 6 2 3 4 6 7 37 Andrew Moakes '13 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Samuel Morley '14 [3-4, 7-8]
Samuel Morley '14 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Andrew Moakes '13 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 A 5 7 3 4 1 1 6 5 5 37 Zachary O'Brien '13
Chelsea Crowley '13
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals A 6 8 12 10 9 10 5 4 4 68 Lewis Fowler-Gerace '15
Kellyn Maves '16
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 7 6 5 5 8 8 12 7 10 68 Meghan Colwell '16
Emily Cordner '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 B 3 4 9 11 10 6 8 11 9 71 James Mcandrew '16
Ian Dakers '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies A 9 9 7 7 7 7 10 8 8 72 William Kresic '13
Courtney Llinares '16
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies B 10 10 13 9 5 11 11 9 6 84 Shannan Smith '15
Kelsey Smith '13
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 12 13 10 13 13 9 7 13 11 101 Cynthia Connard '15
Douglas Strong '14
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats A 13 11 11 12 15 12 9 10 14 107 Gregory Henkelman '13
Christopher Voorman '14
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue A 11 14 8 14 11 13 15 12 12 110 Robert Mcmullen '13
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats B 14 15 14 8 14 14 13 15 13 120 Emily Greagori '13
Mary Herman '13
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals B 15 12 15 15 12 15 14 14 15 127 Dylan Nelson '15
Frances Williams '14
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue B 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 144 Robert Mcmullen '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies444444444
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats111111111
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers222222222
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1555555555
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2666666666
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos333333333
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue777777777
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals888888888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies121212121212121212
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats999999999
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers101010101010101010
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1131313131313131313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2141414141414141414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111111111111111111
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue151515151515151515
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals161616161616161616

Conditions — 10/27/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1016.7 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From E (82°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine8.7 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1016.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.34 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →