Emma Biagioni Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 1 9 17 26
2 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 1 17 23 40
3 Hope College Hope College Hope 1 27 22 49
4 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 46 24 70
5 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 43 32 75
6 Hope College Hope College Hope 2 32 44 76
7 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 2 43 46 89
8 Ohio State University Ohio State University The Ohio State Univ. 40 51 91
9 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 2 55 56 111
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 9 Jack Greve '15
Vytenis Karaitis '14
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 1 1 2 4 1 3 2 4 17 Joel Florek '15
Ce Chan '16
Hope College Hope College Hope 1 3 4 2 5 6 5 2 27 Libby Reeg '17
Andrea Mcguire '15
Hope College Hope College Hope 2 4 3 3 3 2 8 9 32 Evelyn Ritter '15 [1-7]
Mitchell Gage '15 [1-2]
Sarah Harvin '16 [3-7]
Ohio State University Ohio State University The Ohio State Univ. 9 5 BYE 4 5 6 5 40 David Aspery '16
Anatoliy Kryvenko '15
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 5 7 7 6 8 7 3 43 Michael Small '14 [1-2]
Ian Pope '19 [3-7]
Jessica Gula '17 [1-2]
James Hoover '11 [3-7]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 2 7 8 6 9 4 3 6 43 Elliott Klose '15
Anne Borema '14
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 6 6 5 8 9 4 8 46 Katy Carlyle '15 [1]
Alexander Slajus '17 [2-7]
Alexander Slajus '17 [1]
Katy Carlyle '15 [2-7]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 2 8 9 8 7 7 9 7 55 Tray Foster '15
Anna Wilhelm '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 1 5 4 1 2 1 2 2 17 Ryan Mabie '16
Kevin Luther '15
Hope College Hope College Hope 1 2 1 4 5 3 6 1 22 Evan Rodgers '16
Lauren Aprill '14
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 1 4 2 3 3 4 4 3 23 Jacob Henley '17
Nick Saur '15
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 1 5 5 6 2 1 4 24 Michael Kang '12
Harry Posner '16
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 3 3 8 4 6 3 5 32 Kyle Bloch '14 [1-2]
Hannah Williams '15 [3-7]
Kyle Bloch '14 [1-2]
Emma Trueblood '17 [3-7]
Hope College Hope College Hope 2 7 8 6 7 5 5 6 44 Russell Fyfe '13
John Stack '17
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Western Michigan 2 9 9 2 1 8 9 8 46 Tyler Psychas '16 [1-2]
Jack Greve '15 [3-7]
Galina Vander Meer '16 [1-2]
Ohio State University Ohio State University The Ohio State Univ. 6 6 7 9 7 7 9 51 Ryan Hunter '18 [1-2]
Connor Basile '17 [3-7]
Patrick Burns '16 [1-2]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 2 8 7 9 8 9 8 7 56 No Show
Maggie Kloote '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons1133915915
Hope CollegeHope College Hope 122292942334233
Hope CollegeHope College Hope 233915915
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One 142334233113
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One 22229
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats1133915
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University The Ohio State Univ.2229294233
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan 19159152
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan 22929423342331

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons22292942334233
Hope CollegeHope College Hope 133915915
Hope CollegeHope College Hope 22929423342331
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One 12229
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One 21133915
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats2229294233
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University The Ohio State Univ.1133915915
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan 142334233113
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Western Michigan 29159152

Conditions — 11/02/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1012.1 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 48°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 17.3 kn
From NNW (342°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine7.4 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1012.1 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Hope: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hope by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Hope, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →