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Kathryn Hammond Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 16 15 31
2 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 40 28 68
3 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 48 36 84
4 University of Texas University of Texas Texas 50 39 89
5 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 56 55 111
6 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 73 57 130
7 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 64 77 141
8 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 70 80 150
9 University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 72 86 158
10 University of South Alabama University of South Alabama South Alabama 75 95 170
11 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 98 94 192
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 16 Daniel Lawless '17 [1-10]
Mara Strobel-Lanka '17 [1-4, 9-10]
Victoria Caba '17 [5-8]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 4 4 3 8 6 2 8 2 1 40 Alexandra Payne '15
Aliya Boyer '17
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 11 2 2 2 3 2 8 3 6 9 48 Michael Sager '15
Suzy Bradford '17
University of Texas University of Texas Texas 8 3 6 4 4 4 6 4 3 8 50 Masie Comen '15
Brinley Kranz '16
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 6 6 5 7 5 8 4 5 5 5 56 Erin Hawk '16
Megan Woodring '14
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 3 5 7 10 2 5 10 9 9 4 64 William Cragin '15
Hunter Ledonne '15
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 10 7 3 6 7 3 7 7 10 10 70 Kayla Sjoberg '14
Ashley Blumentritt '16
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 1 8 10 8 10 10 9 10 4 2 72 Melissa Brown '14 [1-10]
Margaret (Maggie) Kuchler '17 [1-8]
Sydney Quade '17 [9-10]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 4 9 11 9 9 9 3 6 7 6 73 Travis Conger '14
Travis James '13
University of South Alabama University of South Alabama South Alabama 7 11 8 5 6 7 5 2 DNS DNS 75 Cameron James '16
Rachel Forestier '17
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 9 10 9 11 11 11 11 11 8 7 98 Sarah Summers '13 [1-10]
Darby Gilmore '14 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Mikasa Barnes '17 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Dolphins 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 4 2 1 15 Ian Ikeda '17 [1-10]
Anna Palmer '17 [1-6]
Hannah Knighton '17 [7-10]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 4 3 6 2 2 2 3 3 1 2 28 Jessica Oswalt '16 [1-10]
Evan Kollath '15 [1-4, 7-10]
Michael Swanson '16 [5-6]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 2 2 1 3 7 4 5 5 3 4 36 Jacob Hafemeister '16
Ryan Murphy '15
University of Texas University of Texas Texas 6 6 3 4 3 5 2 1 6 3 39 Ellen Nielsen '15
Aubrey Leblanc '14
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 5 10 4 5 4 6 9 2 5 5 55 Tracy Hawk '16 [1-10]
Madeline Minchillo '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Melodie Kline '14 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 3 7 7 6 6 8 4 6 4 6 57 Walter Pospick '17 [1-10]
Kevin Dirksmeyer '17 [1-2, 5-10]
Michael Hearn '13 [3-4]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 11 4 11 8 5 3 6 9 10 10 77 Alexander Judd '16 [1-8]
Simon Varga '17 [9-10]
Kayla Blanchard '13 [1-8]
Alexander Judd '16 [9-10]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 7 8 5 7 10 9 7 11 8 8 80 Paige Meineke '14
Rachel Mcmahon '15
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 9 9 9 9 8 7 11 8 7 9 86 Alex Assyia '16 [1-10]
Alex Assyia '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Sydney Quade '17 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 8 11 8 11 9 11 10 10 9 7 94 Daryl Nieto '15 [1-10]
Matthew Fox '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Krystin Brown '17 [3-4, 7-8]
University of South Alabama University of South Alabama South Alabama 10 5 10 10 11 10 8 7 DNS DNS 95 Douglas Modling '16
Jamie Ellis '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (34 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos881010113355
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins1133557799
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks224466881010
University of South AlabamaUniversity of South Alabama South Alabama991111224466
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns101011335577
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Texas111122446688
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1335577991111
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2446688101011
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1557799111122
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2668810101133
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave779911112244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos991111224466
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Dolphins224466881010
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks335577991111
University of South AlabamaUniversity of South Alabama South Alabama101011335577
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns111122446688
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Texas1133557799
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1446688101011
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2557799111122
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1668810101133
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2779911112244
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave881010113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Daniel Lawless '17 [1-10] Mara Strobel-Lanka '17 [1-4, 9-10]
Victoria Caba '17 [5-8]
Dolphins Ian Ikeda '17 [1-10] Anna Palmer '17 [1-6]
Hannah Knighton '17 [7-10]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Travis Conger '14 Travis James '13
Aggies 1 Walter Pospick '17 [1-10] Kevin Dirksmeyer '17 [1-2, 5-10]
Michael Hearn '13 [3-4]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Erin Hawk '16 Megan Woodring '14
Aggies 2 Tracy Hawk '16 [1-10] Madeline Minchillo '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Melodie Kline '14 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Michael Sager '15 Suzy Bradford '17
Aggies 1 Jacob Hafemeister '16 Ryan Murphy '15
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Kayla Sjoberg '14 Ashley Blumentritt '16
Aggies 2 Paige Meineke '14 Rachel Mcmahon '15
Tulane University Tulane University Alexandra Payne '15 Aliya Boyer '17
Green Wave Jessica Oswalt '16 [1-10] Evan Kollath '15 [1-4, 7-10]
Michael Swanson '16 [5-6]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Sarah Summers '13 [1-10] Darby Gilmore '14 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Mikasa Barnes '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Bronchos Daryl Nieto '15 [1-10] Matthew Fox '15 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Krystin Brown '17 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Kansas University of Kansas Melissa Brown '14 [1-10] Margaret (Maggie) Kuchler '17 [1-8]
Sydney Quade '17 [9-10]
Jayhawks Alex Assyia '16 [1-10] Alex Assyia '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Sydney Quade '17 [3-4, 7-8]
University of South Alabama University of South Alabama Cameron James '16 Rachel Forestier '17
South Alabama Douglas Modling '16 Jamie Ellis '17
University of Texas University of Texas William Cragin '15 Hunter Ledonne '15
Longhorns Alexander Judd '16 [1-8]
Simon Varga '17 [9-10]		 Kayla Blanchard '13 [1-8]
Alexander Judd '16 [9-10]
University of Texas University of Texas Masie Comen '15 Brinley Kranz '16
Texas Ellen Nielsen '15 Aubrey Leblanc '14

Conditions — 10/26/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1021.1 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.3 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From SSE (156°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover70% Sunshine9.5 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1021.1 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn · N 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (19 labelled days at Texas).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →