McCurdy Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 11 20 31
2 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 30 20 50
3 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 28 26 54
4 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 37 41 78
5 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 44 51 95
6 Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 60 55 115
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 11 Zachary Schippe '14
Sarah Scheidt '17
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 3 28 Caroline Udell '17
Jessica Penney '17
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 2 2 3 5 3 2 4 4 3 2 30 Alexander Doan '17
Samuel Kraft '15
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 4 4 5 3 4 4 5 2 2 4 37 Jeffrey Proko '18
Michelle Riddle '18
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 5 5 4 4 5 5 1 5 5 5 44 Charles Herlihy '14
John Shanahan '16
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 60 Owen Kaufman '14 [1-10]
Van Huynh '15 [1]
Max Reo '16 [2-10]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 1 1 3 2 1 2 2 3 3 2 20 Adam Rybczynski '14 [1-8]
Andrew Kelley '15 [9-10]
Samuel Haksteen '17 [1-8]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 2 2 2 3 2 3 3 1 1 1 20 Connor Wells '14 [1-5]
Ted Wingender '16 [6-10]
Alexandra Stapienski '16 [1-5]
Zachary Rose '15 [6-10]
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 3 3 1 1 3 1 4 2 2 6 26 John Waller '16 [1-10]
Tyler Frees '16 [1-8]
Tyler Wyatt '17 [9-10]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 4 4 DNS 5 5 4 1 4 4 3 41 Barrett Adams '17
James Mcaaron '18
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 6 5 5 4 6 5 6 5 5 4 51 Charles Jr. Blair '17
William Blake '17
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 5 6 4 DNF 4 6 5 DNF 6 5 55 Kerri Paliwoda '17 [1-10]
Jeanne Fitzpatrick '13 [1-8, 10]
Van Huynh '15 [9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens1122334455
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons2233445566
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers3344556611
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings4455661122
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions5566112233
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers6611223344

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens1122334455
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons2233445566
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers3344556611
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings4455661122
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions5566112233
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers6611223344

Conditions — 10/12/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1019.6 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From NE (52°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover78% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1019.6 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn · E 16 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Delaware: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.29
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.45 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Delaware by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Delaware, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →