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N.E. Dinghy Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 18 12 30
2 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 14 20 34
3 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 13 22 35
4 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 20 20 40
5 Providence College Providence College Friars 29 14 43
6 Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Holy Cross 32 34 66
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 2 1 2 1 3 4 13 Yann Cudennec '15
Tristan Chauvin '17
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 1 2 3 3 4 1 14 Michael Rottier '15
Peter Rodriguez '14
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 4 4 4 2 1 3 18 William Dykes '15
David Mazotas '16
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 5 3 1 4 2 5 20 Sean Willerford '14
Annalisa Baratta '15
Providence College Providence College Friars 3 5 5 5 5 6 29 Chris Aitken '15 [1-6]
Colleen Cassidy '15 [1-2]
John Coulter '16 [3-6]
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Holy Cross 6 6 6 6 6 2 32 Briana Travers '17 [1-6]
Katherine Mccarthy '13 [1-2]
Joe Dalton '15 [3-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 3 2 3 RDG 1 12 Emmet Todd '17
Ann Sager '13
Providence College Providence College Friars 3 1 1 1 4 4 14 Tristan Janowicz '16 [1-6]
Abby Mclaughlin '15 [1-2]
Stephanie Burrell '16 [3-6]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 2 4 4 2 3 5 20 Meghan Colwell '16
Terry Duncan '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 4 2 6 5 1 2 20 Jennifer Lee '17
George Williams '17
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 5 5 3 4 2 3 22 Maxime Fecteau '14
Keira Webster '15
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Holy Cross 6 6 5 6 5 6 34 Robert Bueti '15 [1-6]
David Mulry '16 [1-2]
Benjamin Ritter '16 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies551133
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Holy Cross113355
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds224466
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers335511
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats662244
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars446622

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies662244
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Holy Cross224466
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds335511
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers446622
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats113355
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars551133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Briana Travers '17 [1-6] Katherine Mccarthy '13 [1-2]
Joe Dalton '15 [3-6]
Holy Cross Robert Bueti '15 [1-6] David Mulry '16 [1-2]
Benjamin Ritter '16 [3-6]
McGill University McGill University Yann Cudennec '15 Tristan Chauvin '17
Redbirds Maxime Fecteau '14 Keira Webster '15
Middlebury College Middlebury College Sean Willerford '14 Annalisa Baratta '15
Panthers Meghan Colwell '16 Terry Duncan '15
Providence College Providence College Chris Aitken '15 [1-6] Colleen Cassidy '15 [1-2]
John Coulter '16 [3-6]
Friars Tristan Janowicz '16 [1-6] Abby Mclaughlin '15 [1-2]
Stephanie Burrell '16 [3-6]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Michael Rottier '15 Peter Rodriguez '14
Huskies Jennifer Lee '17 George Williams '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire William Dykes '15 David Mazotas '16
Wildcats Emmet Todd '17 Ann Sager '13

Conditions — 11/02/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1003.5 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.7 kn
avg  ·  max 4.6 kn
Gusts to 12.6 kn
From WSW (244°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover47% Sunshine8.7 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1003.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn* · W 9 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.31)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →