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SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 10 10 20
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 8 13 21
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 9 17 26
4 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 2 22 10 32
5 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 19 17 36
6 University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 22 18 40
7 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 1 28 12 40
8 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 31 17 48
9 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 7 53 MRP 60 MRP
10 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 12 53 MRP 65 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 1 1 7 John Reddaway '15
Will Brazzil '17
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 5 2 8 Noah Blacker '17
Kayla Adelman '17
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 3 3 3 9 Edwin Strong '15
Jeffery Kaisner '17
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 4 4 10 David Rogers '15
Matthew Dockstader '17
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 4 2 6 12 Jackson Morton '14
Alexander Katsis '14
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 7 7 5 19 Adam Kaplon '15
William Reynolds '15
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 2 6 9 7 22 Zachary Newton '15
Jessica Ganley '16
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 8 6 8 22 Matthew Weber '15 [1-3]
Benjamin Burghaus '14 [1-2]
Sarah Olson '17 [3]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 1 9 8 DNS 28 Duncan Greeley '16 [1-3]
Carson Reddick '15 [1-2]
Trevor Lieske '17 [3]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers DNS DNS 9 31 Sullivan Madewell '14
Rachael Payton '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 2 2 6 10 Paul Guntner '16
Cole Barclay '16
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 2 4 4 2 10 Becca Hofmeister '14
Brandon Sanders '14
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 1 3 6 3 12 Carson Reddick '15 [1-3]
Mark Schneider '16 [1-2]
Trevor Lieske '17 [3]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars OCS 1 1 13 Ellinor Walters '17
Cassidy Shevitz '14
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 5 DSQ 17 William Duncan '14 [1-3]
Nadiya Klep '15 [1-2]
Hayden Kohls '15 [3]
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt 6 7 4 17 Robert Newman '16 [1-2]
Stephen Petty Valenzuela '17 [3]
Kristen Morris '15 [1-2]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 7 3 7 17 Anna Sprague '14
Henry Risberg '16
University of Georgia University of Georgia Georgia 5 8 5 18 Henry Taylor '17
Sarah Olson '17
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets DNS DNS DNS 53 MRP No Show
No Show
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils DNS DNS DNS 53 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers112
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars334
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers223
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils445
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia556
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets667
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack779
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers 19910
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers 2101011
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt11111

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers112
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars334
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers223
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils445
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Georgia556
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets667
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack779
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers 19910
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers 2101011
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Vanderbilt11111

Conditions — 09/21/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌧️Moderate rain
Humidity 97%  ·  Pressure 1008.3 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 21.8 kn
From WNW (292°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity97% Pressure1008.3 hPa Rain1.66 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tennessee: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tennessee by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Tennessee, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →