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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 6 13 19
2 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 17 8 25
3 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 18 18 36
4 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 21 24 45
5 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 31 30 61
6 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 33 34 67
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Nick Watts '18
Miia Newman '17
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 5 3 3 2 2 17 Austen Parish '17
Aspen Spiker '19
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 3 2 4 2 4 3 18 Malcolm Kriegel '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Jessica Oswalt '16 [3-4]
Alexis Smith '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Aliya Boyer '17 [3-4]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 4 4 2 4 3 4 21 Christopher Suarez '18 [1-6]
Raymond Hamilton '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexandra Oyston '18 [3-4]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 6 3 6 5 5 6 31 Caroline Bik '19 [1-6]
Madeline Daniell '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Carolyn Fan '19 [3-4]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 5 6 5 6 6 5 33 Ron Joseph Lastimosa '16 [1-6]
Garland Gay '17 [1-2]
Samantha Robbins '18 [3-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 1 1 1 1 1 8 Dean Bethel '19
Andrew Essenburgh '19
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 2 2 2 3 2 2 13 Siri Anderson '19 [1-6]
Grace Bloomfield '19 [1-4]
Charlotte Barrielle '19 [5-6]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 1 4 3 2 5 3 18 David Graf '19 [1-6]
Rishij Mewada '19 [1-3]
Allison Woolverton '19 [4-6]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 4 3 5 4 4 4 24 Catherine Bristow '17 [1-6]
Colton Hard '19 [1-4]
Megan Carugati '19 [5-6]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 5 6 4 DNF 3 5 30 Maximilian Neidhardt '17 [1-6]
Suvan Cabraal '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Kayla Torres '16 [3-4]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 6 5 6 5 6 6 34 Lisanne Hoekstra '17 [1-6]
Alec Chappetta '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Catalina Rodriguez '16 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 1771155
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 2884466
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies115577
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies446688
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 1557711
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 2668844

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 1884466
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 2115577
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies446688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies557711
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 1668844
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 2771155
School / Team SkipperCrew
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Christopher Suarez '18 [1-6] Raymond Hamilton '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Alexandra Oyston '18 [3-4]
Aggies Catherine Bristow '17 [1-6] Colton Hard '19 [1-4]
Megan Carugati '19 [5-6]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Austen Parish '17 Aspen Spiker '19
Aggies Dean Bethel '19 Andrew Essenburgh '19
Tulane University Tulane University Nick Watts '18 Miia Newman '17
Green Wave 1 Siri Anderson '19 [1-6] Grace Bloomfield '19 [1-4]
Charlotte Barrielle '19 [5-6]
Tulane University Tulane University Malcolm Kriegel '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Jessica Oswalt '16 [3-4]
Alexis Smith '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Aliya Boyer '17 [3-4]
Green Wave 2 David Graf '19 [1-6] Rishij Mewada '19 [1-3]
Allison Woolverton '19 [4-6]
University of Texas University of Texas Ron Joseph Lastimosa '16 [1-6] Garland Gay '17 [1-2]
Samantha Robbins '18 [3-6]
Longhorns 1 Lisanne Hoekstra '17 [1-6] Alec Chappetta '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Catalina Rodriguez '16 [3-4]
University of Texas University of Texas Caroline Bik '19 [1-6] Madeline Daniell '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Carolyn Fan '19 [3-4]
Longhorns 2 Maximilian Neidhardt '17 [1-6] Suvan Cabraal '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Kayla Torres '16 [3-4]

Conditions — 11/14/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1026.5 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.7 kn
avg  ·  max 13.1 kn
Gusts to 23.9 kn
From NE (52°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1026.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn · E 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tulane: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.58 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →