Boudeman Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 1 29 8 37
2 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 14 30 44
3 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 35 30 65
4 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 38 35 73
5 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 37 39 76
6 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 32 53 85
7 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 2 43 46 89
8 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 65 54 119
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 1 4 2 2 2 1 1 14 David Aspery '16
Stacey Nash '17
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 1 5 2 2 1 3 4 3 DNF 29 Ryan Mabie '16
Blake Utz '16
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 3 3 7 6 1 3 6 3 32 Benjamin Diamond '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Cortney Kingsley '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Hazel Foster '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Alissa Chrisekos '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 7 6 3 5 7 1 4 2 35 Addison Amstutz '19
Max Merget '16
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 6 4 1 3 4 8 7 4 37 Libby Reeg '17 [1-4]
John Stack '17 [5-8]
Matthew Delaney '18 [1-4]
Lindsey Capel '18 [5-6]
Jacob Pledger '18 [7-8]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 2 5 6 4 6 7 2 6 38 Drew Blackburn '17
Evon Deprey '17
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 2 4 7 5 7 5 5 5 5 43
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 8 8 8 DNS 8 6 DNS DNS 65 Brittany Nordhaus '17
Jeffrey Liffick '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 8 Jack Greve '15
Alexandra Brown '17
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 3 2 3 6 4 6 4 30 Brittany Mosgo '17
Nathan Fellows '18
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 4 5 5 6 3 3 2 2 30 Nicholaas Zomer '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Matthew Harrison '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Nicholas Smart '18 [1-2, 5-6]
William Harrison '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets DNF 2 DNF 5 2 2 3 3 35 Drew Blackburn '17
Evon Deprey '17
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 3 4 3 2 7 8 5 7 39 Caroline Ritter '18 [1-8]
Justin Edick '19 [1-3]
Lisette Boer '19 [4, 7-8]
No Show [5-6]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 2 7 6 4 4 5 6 8 6 46
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 5 7 DNF 8 8 7 4 5 53 Ian Pope '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Hannah Milkie '19 [3-4]
Hunter Bronkema '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Ridge '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 6 8 DNS 7 4 5 7 8 54 David Kellogg '18
Alex Winner '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers66
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen7755
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks66
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats7755
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes66
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets5577
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos 166
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos 27755

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers5577
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen66
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks5577
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats66
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes5577
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets66
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos 17755
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos 266
School / Team SkipperCrew
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Addison Amstutz '19 Max Merget '16
Lakers Nicholaas Zomer '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Matthew Harrison '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Nicholas Smart '18 [1-2, 5-6]
William Harrison '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Hope College Hope College Libby Reeg '17 [1-4]
John Stack '17 [5-8]
Matthew Delaney '18 [1-4]
Lindsey Capel '18 [5-6]
Jacob Pledger '18 [7-8]
Flying Dutchmen Caroline Ritter '18 [1-8] Justin Edick '19 [1-3]
Lisette Boer '19 [4, 7-8]
No Show [5-6]
Miami University Miami University Brittany Nordhaus '17 Jeffrey Liffick '17
Red Hawks David Kellogg '18 Alex Winner '17
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Benjamin Diamond '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Cortney Kingsley '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Hazel Foster '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Alissa Chrisekos '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Wildcats Ian Pope '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Hannah Milkie '19 [3-4]
Hunter Bronkema '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Elizabeth Ridge '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Ohio State University Ohio State University David Aspery '16 Stacey Nash '17
Buckeyes Brittany Mosgo '17 Nathan Fellows '18
University of Toledo University of Toledo Drew Blackburn '17 Evon Deprey '17
Rockets Drew Blackburn '17 Evon Deprey '17
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Ryan Mabie '16 Blake Utz '16
Broncos 1 Jack Greve '15 Alexandra Brown '17

Conditions — 10/17/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1029.4 hPa

Temperature

42°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 11.9 kn
Gusts to 25.3 kn
From NW (318°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine8.1 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1029.4 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 12 kn · NW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Western Michigan: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.48 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Western Michigan by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Western Michigan: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →