Cary-Price Memorial

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 7 31 MRP 38 MRP
2 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 32 12 44
3 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 30 22 52
4 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 2 20 41 61
5 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 36 29 65
6 Denison University Denison University Big Red 22 46 68
7 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 52 44 96
8 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 53 54 107
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 Lane Tobin '18 [1-7]
Alison Bradley '16 [1-4, 7]
Tansy Massey-Green '19 [5-6]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 2 3 2 2 4 4 2 3 20 Rachel Rantanen '19
Meredith Mckeown '17
Denison University Denison University Big Red 4 5 3 2 3 3 2 22 Margot Sherman Jollis '18
Hanora Lucey '19
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 5 4 5 5 2 4 5 30 Max Vinocur '18
Jack Brieton '18
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 2 3 4 6 5 6 6 32 Abby Freeman '16
Taylor Sackett '17
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 6 6 6 3 6 5 4 36 Addison Amstutz '19 [1-7]
No Show [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholaas Zomer '18 [3-4, 7]
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 7 8 7 7 8 7 8 52 Adam Cloch '18 [1-7]
Audrey York '19 [1-2, 7]
Jeffrey Liffick '17 [3-6]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 8 7 8 8 7 8 7 53 Anatoliy Kryvenko '15 [1-7]
Sean Fronce '15 [1-2]
Logan Fleisher '18 [3-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 2 2 1 1 2 3 1 12 Rob Berry '16
Alyssa Das '16
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 4 4 3 4 3 1 3 22 Timothy Dickey '18
Anna Blohm '19
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 3 3 4 3 4 8 4 29 Max Merget '16
Michaela Kastura '16
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 31 MRP Trevor Goodrum '19 [1-2]
Benjamin Jepsen '17 [3-7]
Amy Baer '19 [1-2]
Michael Gapuz '18 [3-4, 7]
Charles Rogers '19 [5-6]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 2 5 DNF 5 6 6 5 5 41 Chelsea Bohn '16
Micalah Blohm '19
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 6 5 8 7 5 6 7 44 Brittany Nordhaus '17 [1-7]
Kristin Schulze '19 [1-2, 7]
Ryan Link '16 [3-4]
Teresa Williams '19 [5-6]
Denison University Denison University Big Red DNF DNS 6 5 7 4 6 46 William Griswold '19
Rachel Budzilek '18
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 7 DNF 7 8 8 7 8 54 Logan Fleisher '18 [1-2]
Candace Lincoln '17 [3-7]
Kimberleigh Bechtolt '17 [1-2]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red1133557
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers2244668
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks3355771
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines8822446
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans 14466882
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans 25577113
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats7711335
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes6688224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red2244668
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers3355771
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks4466882
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines1133557
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans 15577113
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans 26688224
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats8822446
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes7711335

Conditions — 10/03/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1024.2 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.2 kn
avg  ·  max 15.1 kn
Gusts to 29.5 kn
From ENE (62°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.5 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1024.2 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 18 kn · E 9 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Michigan: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.30
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.94 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Michigan by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 12 labelled days at Michigan, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →