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Cornell Women's Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 31
2 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 47
3 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 64
4 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 97
5 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 102
6 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 127
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 A 6 1 1 3 2 2 15 Quinn Howes '16
Dalton Brauer '16
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 B 1 3 2 5 4 1 16 Gillian Boehringer '18
Tara Bergstrom '18
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen B 3 4 7 1 5 3 23 Lindsey Kloc '19
Leah Trow '19
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen A 4 7 6 2 1 4 24 Bailey Carter '19
Elizabeth Mccabe '18
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 A 2 2 8 4 3 6 25 Claire Riedman '16
Andrea Farr '18
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls A 5 8 4 6 9 5 37 Jessica Abriss '18
Veronica Kucinski '19
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 B 8 5 3 7 7 9 39 Kimberly Wong '19
Leslie Campbell '18
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers B 9 6 5 8 8 10 46 Victoria Tang '19
Mikecia Clarke '19
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers A 7 9 9 9 6 11 51 Sydney Mandelbaum '17
Aryana Navarro '18
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers B 10 11 10 11 11 7 60 Katherine Wilson '17
Madison Davis '19
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls B 11 12 12 12 10 8 65 Teresa Dirado '17
Hayley Wennberg '16
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers A 12 10 11 10 12 12 67 Katherine Curran '17
Olivia Breglia '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (27 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls777777
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 1111111
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 2222222
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen555555
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers666666
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers333333

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls181818181818
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 1999999
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red 2121212121212
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen141414141414
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers171717171717
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers444444

Conditions — 10/03/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1028.8 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From ENE (67°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1028.8 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 3 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Cornell: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.17)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 14% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cornell by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at Cornell).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →