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SAISA North Points #2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 20 8 28
2 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 24 12 36
3 Citadel Citadel Citadel 20 29 49
4 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 24 28 52
5 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 35 21 56
6 Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 36 20 56
7 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 23 34 57
8 Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 21 48 69
9 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 29 44 73
10 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 46 40 86
11 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 53 46 99
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 2 DSQ 4 1 1 20 Alfonso Pescini '19 [1-5]
Julia Knorr '19 [1-3]
Veohnti Afokpa '19 [4-5]
Citadel Citadel Citadel 6 5 5 2 2 20
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 1 2 3 8 7 21 Clifford Gilman '19
No Show
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 7 3 1 7 5 23 Abbie Probst '19 [1-3]
Claire Christensen '19 [4-5]
Emma Halley '19 [1-3]
Sarah Sandler '19 [4-5]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 6 6 3 6 24 Joshua Kim '17 [1-5]
Chris Walton '16 [1-3]
Haley Chenot '18 [4-5]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 5 1 9 6 3 24 Matthew Dockstader '17
Caroline Eberhardt '18
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 4 8 8 5 4 29 Margaux Bacro-Duverger '17 [1-3]
Jack Gonzales '18 [4-5]
Brooke Hagler '18 [1-3]
Martha Metts '18 [4-5]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 8 7 7 4 9 35 Matthew Art '18
Ian Coyne '19
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 10 4 2 10 10 36
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 9 10 10 9 8 46 Brent Deangelis '16 [1-5]
Jonathan Arbour '19 [1-3]
David Reuss '17 [4-5]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 11 9 11 11 11 53 Jennifer Post '16 [1-5]
Halie Obrien '17 [1-2]
Andrea Funk '17 [3-5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 1 4 1 1 1 8 Alexander Katsis '14 [1-5]
Forest Cummings-Taylor '19 [1-3]
Daniel Allred '19 [4-5]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 4 2 2 2 2 12 Franklin Brown '17 [1-3]
James Elder '15 [4-5]
Andres Menendez '17 [1-3]
David Sutton '19 [4-5]
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 2 3 7 5 3 20
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 7 1 5 3 5 21 Chandler Hill '19
Luke Schwarzentraub '17
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 6 4 8 4 28 Zack Morey '17
Melissa Mcbride '19
Citadel Citadel Citadel 5 5 3 7 9 29
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 3 7 8 9 7 34 Andrew Hopkins '19 [1-3]
Cameron Rylance '19 [4-5]
Carly Duffy '19 [1-3]
John Gervais '18 [4-5]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 9 10 9 4 8 40 Shawn Majzlik '18 [1-3]
Edward Martin '16 [4-5]
Taylor Lemaitre '17 [1-3]
Samantha Taylor '16 [4-5]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 8 8 6 11 11 44 Katherine Bozzuti '16 [1-3]
Allison Sherman '17 [4-5]
Ashley Thess '19 [1-3]
No Show [4-5]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 10 9 11 6 10 46 Timothy Dewitt '17 [1-5]
Adam Barth '19 [1-2]
Benjamin Tonks '19 [3-5]
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 11 11 10 10 6 48 Clayton Shupak '18 [1-3]
Ryan Welch '16 [4-5]
Yangzi Jiang '19 [1-3]
No Show [4-5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers1111112
CitadelCitadel Citadel55667
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers101011111
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats99101011
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils889910
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs44556
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets77889
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack66778
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed33445
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers22334
VanderbiltVanderbilt Vanderbilt11223

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers1111112
CitadelCitadel Citadel55667
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers101011111
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats99101011
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils889910
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs44556
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets77889
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack66778
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed33445
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers22334
VanderbiltVanderbilt Vanderbilt11223
School / Team SkipperCrew
Auburn University Auburn University Brent Deangelis '16 [1-5] Jonathan Arbour '19 [1-3]
David Reuss '17 [4-5]
Tigers Shawn Majzlik '18 [1-3]
Edward Martin '16 [4-5]		 Taylor Lemaitre '17 [1-3]
Samantha Taylor '16 [4-5]
Clemson University Clemson University Abbie Probst '19 [1-3]
Claire Christensen '19 [4-5]		 Emma Halley '19 [1-3]
Sarah Sandler '19 [4-5]
Tigers Andrew Hopkins '19 [1-3]
Cameron Rylance '19 [4-5]		 Carly Duffy '19 [1-3]
John Gervais '18 [4-5]
Davidson College Davidson College Clifford Gilman '19 No Show
Wildcats Clayton Shupak '18 [1-3]
Ryan Welch '16 [4-5]		 Yangzi Jiang '19 [1-3]
No Show [4-5]
Duke University Duke University Alfonso Pescini '19 [1-5] Julia Knorr '19 [1-3]
Veohnti Afokpa '19 [4-5]
Blue Devils Alexander Katsis '14 [1-5] Forest Cummings-Taylor '19 [1-3]
Daniel Allred '19 [4-5]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Joshua Kim '17 [1-5] Chris Walton '16 [1-3]
Haley Chenot '18 [4-5]
Yellow Jackets Franklin Brown '17 [1-3]
James Elder '15 [4-5]		 Andres Menendez '17 [1-3]
David Sutton '19 [4-5]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Matthew Dockstader '17 Caroline Eberhardt '18
Wolfpack Zack Morey '17 Melissa Mcbride '19
University of Georgia University of Georgia Jennifer Post '16 [1-5] Halie Obrien '17 [1-2]
Andrea Funk '17 [3-5]
Bulldogs Timothy Dewitt '17 [1-5] Adam Barth '19 [1-2]
Benjamin Tonks '19 [3-5]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Margaux Bacro-Duverger '17 [1-3]
Jack Gonzales '18 [4-5]		 Brooke Hagler '18 [1-3]
Martha Metts '18 [4-5]
Coed Katherine Bozzuti '16 [1-3]
Allison Sherman '17 [4-5]		 Ashley Thess '19 [1-3]
No Show [4-5]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Matthew Art '18 Ian Coyne '19
Volunteers Chandler Hill '19 Luke Schwarzentraub '17

Conditions — 09/19/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1014.0 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From SW (230°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover64% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1014.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tennessee: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tennessee by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Tennessee, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →