Navigate

North North JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 13 9 22
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 31 32 63
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 29 37 66
4 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 45 24 69
5 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 31 42 73
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 42 38 80
7 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 37 47 84
8 Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 69 62 131
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 1 5 1 2 13 Karl Skeel '20 [1-2]
Nathaniel Gordon '20 [3-4]
Erik Skeel '20 [5-8]
Bekah Ashpole '18 [1-4]
Cora Knauss '18 [5-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 4 6 DNS 2 3 1 3 1 29 Ryan Van Slyck '17
Cynthia Sovulewski '19
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 2 5 4 7 2 3 5 3 31 Dillon Kilroy '19
Hayley Rawden '18
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 3 7 3 3 5 2 4 4 31 Jordan Pow '17
Emily Spencer '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 7 2 5 4 6 6 2 5 37 Benjamin Daniel '20
Oliver Barry '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 5 4 6 6 4 4 6 7 42 Kendall Kracke '20
Ben Morasch '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 6 3 2 5 7 DNF 7 6 45 Colin Bishop '20
Roxanne Porter-Smith '18
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers DNS DNS DNS DNS 8 7 DNS DNS 69 Schuyler Jones '17
Zoe Gluck '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 9 Erik Skeel '20 [1-2]
Karl Skeel '20 [3-4]
Nathaniel Gordon '20 [5-8]
Cora Knauss '18 [1-4]
James Whitehead '17 [5-8]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 5 2 2 3 2 5 2 3 24 Lukas Koch '21
Thea Warren '17
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 2 5 3 8 6 4 3 1 32 Spencer Shear '19
Piper Wolters '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 7 3 4 6 4 2 4 7 37 Carter Erickson '18
Lily Sadighmehr '18
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 3 7 5 4 3 6 5 5 38 Nikoline Alden '19
Artem Kuzishchin '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 4 4 8 2 7 7 6 4 42 Steven Dieleman '20
Shawna Eggleston '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 6 6 6 5 8 3 7 6 47 Noah Salmen-Hartley '21
Hayley Woods '21
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 8 8 7 7 5 DNS DNS DNS 62 Schuyler Jones '17 [1-4, 6-8]
Sally Goldman '20 [5]
Zoe Gluck '19 [1-4, 6-8]
Haines Whitacre '16 [5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers7272727272727272
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 18686868686868686
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 28989898989898989
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 33333333333333333
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies8181818181818181

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers7272727272727272
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 18686868686868686
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 28989898989898989
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 33333333333333333
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies8181818181818181

Conditions — 11/05/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1025.6 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From WNW (285°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1025.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn* · S 10 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.26 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →