Troy Swetnam

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 14 12 26
2 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 23 15 38
3 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 17 23 40
4 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 16 24 40
5 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 25 27 52
6 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4 42 31 73
7 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 40 39 79
8 Rice University Rice University Owls 39 45 84
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 3 3 1 1 4 2 14 John Hanna '19
Adam Majdi '20
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 2 1 5 2 3 3 16 Bryndin Hartman '18
Elsa Gutierrez '18
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 2 3 4 2 5 17 Nick Watts '18
Sophia Ricker '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 7 4 2 8 1 1 23 Dean Bethel '19
Summer Knapen '18
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 4 5 4 3 5 4 25 Carson Pepper '17
Colton Hard '19
Rice University Rice University Owls 8 8 6 5 6 6 39 Elena Busch '18
Kevin Li '19
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 6 6 7 6 8 7 40 Morgan Frakes '17
Sevanna Stewart '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4 5 7 8 7 7 8 42 Haley Walker '18 [1-6]
Joseph Rogalski '19 [1-4]
Thomas Braly '19 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 12 Alex Schwinn '19
Ian Beck '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 2 2 3 4 3 1 15 Dylan Marohn '16
Chris Stuewer '19
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 7 3 4 3 2 4 23 John Corrigan '17
Katherine Robinson '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3 3 6 6 2 4 3 24 Austen Parish '17
Delaney Quinn '20
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 6 4 2 5 5 5 27 Catherine Bristow '17
Megan Carugati '19
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4 4 5 7 6 7 2 31 Andrew Essenburgh '19
Aspen Spiker '19
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 5 8 5 7 6 8 39 Alexandra Oyston '18
Hunter Meis '17
Rice University Rice University Owls 8 7 8 8 8 6 45 Amy Fox '17
Keanu Mitanga '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Rice UniversityRice University Owls113355
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1224466
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2335577
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1446688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2557711
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3668822
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4771133
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave882244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Rice UniversityRice University Owls224466
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 1335577
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 2446688
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1557711
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2668822
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 3771133
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4882244
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave113355

Conditions — 09/10/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1017.6 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 78°F
Feels like 90°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.8 kn
avg  ·  max 4.1 kn
Gusts to 13.6 kn
From NW (309°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover74% Sunshine8.7 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1017.6 hPa Rain0.64 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn* · NE 5 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas A&M Galveston: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.77 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M Galveston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Texas A&M Galveston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →