Baldwin Wood

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 8 15 23
2 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 29 28 57
3 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 26 34 60
4 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 3 22 42 64
5 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 4 34 31 65
6 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 50 18 68
7 Wolfpack Wolfpack Wolfpack 74 MRP 76 MRP 150 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 8 John Hanna '19 [1-8]
Hannah Barlow '20 [1-6]
Haley Walker '18 [7-8]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 3 4 2 3 3 4 2 2 2 22 Caelan Watts '21 [1-8]
Elizabeth Lansdowne '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Savannah Bush '21 [3-4]
Katie Cartiglia '17 [5-6]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 3 5 4 2 3 3 3 3 26 Mary Berg '20 [1-8]
Katherine Byrnes '21 [1-2]
Anne Smith '21 [3-4]
Kate Lenhard '21 [5-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 3 2 5 5 4 4 4 29 Benjamin Lipari '18
Jonathan Rolling '20
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 4 BKD 4 5 4 2 5 5 5 34 Catie Cullen '20 [1-4, 7-8]
Clementine Furber '21 [5-6]
Jason Lynn-Framm '21 [1-2]
Kevin Conrad '19 [3-4]
Alexandra Speiss '20 [5-6]
Sophia Ricker '19 [7-8]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 6 6 7 6 7 6 6 6 50 Sean Tichenor '21 [1-6]
Alanna Austin '21 [7-8]
Stephen Hahn '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Hamilton Beard '19 [3-4]
Wolfpack Wolfpack Wolfpack 7 7 6 7 6 7 7 7 74 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 1 1 1 5 3 2 1 15 Alexander Thompson '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Haley Walker '18 [5-6]
Amanda Olson '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 2 2 2 4 3 3 1 1 2 18 Harris Cram '19 [1-2]
Katherine Byrnes '21 [3-8]
Brenna Armfield '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Timothy Smith '21 [3-4]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 5 4 2 4 1 5 3 4 28 Carson Pepper '17
Shelby Click '18
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 4 3 3 5 5 6 2 4 3 31 Rishij Mewada '19 [1-8]
Grace Bloomfield '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Katherine Robinson '19 [3-4]
Hannah Erbrick '21 [5-6]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 1 6 6 3 2 2 4 5 6 34 Jessica Andres '20 [1-8]
Jack Bishop '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Bradley Sweeney '21 [3-4]
Kyra Herzberger '21 [5-6]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 3 4 5 6 6 4 6 6 5 42 David Graf '19 [1-8]
Lily Zechiel '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Gabriel Cohen '21 [3-4]
Humzah Khan '21 [5-6]
Wolfpack Wolfpack Wolfpack 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 76 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
WolfpackWolfpack Wolfpack11335577
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies22446611
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies33557788
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 144661133
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 255772244
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 366113355
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 477224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
WolfpackWolfpack Wolfpack22446611
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies33557788
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies44661133
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 155772244
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 266113355
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 377224466
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave 411335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Benjamin Lipari '18 Jonathan Rolling '20
Aggies Carson Pepper '17 Shelby Click '18
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston John Hanna '19 [1-8] Hannah Barlow '20 [1-6]
Haley Walker '18 [7-8]
Aggies Alexander Thompson '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Haley Walker '18 [5-6]
Amanda Olson '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Tulane University Tulane University Mary Berg '20 [1-8] Katherine Byrnes '21 [1-2]
Anne Smith '21 [3-4]
Kate Lenhard '21 [5-8]
Green Wave 1 Jessica Andres '20 [1-8] Jack Bishop '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Bradley Sweeney '21 [3-4]
Kyra Herzberger '21 [5-6]
Tulane University Tulane University Sean Tichenor '21 [1-6]
Alanna Austin '21 [7-8]
Stephen Hahn '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Hamilton Beard '19 [3-4]
Green Wave 2 Harris Cram '19 [1-2]
Katherine Byrnes '21 [3-8]
Brenna Armfield '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Timothy Smith '21 [3-4]
Tulane University Tulane University Caelan Watts '21 [1-8] Elizabeth Lansdowne '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Savannah Bush '21 [3-4]
Katie Cartiglia '17 [5-6]
Green Wave 3 David Graf '19 [1-8] Lily Zechiel '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Gabriel Cohen '21 [3-4]
Humzah Khan '21 [5-6]
Tulane University Tulane University Catie Cullen '20 [1-4, 7-8]
Clementine Furber '21 [5-6]
Jason Lynn-Framm '21 [1-2]
Kevin Conrad '19 [3-4]
Alexandra Speiss '20 [5-6]
Sophia Ricker '19 [7-8]
Green Wave 4 Rishij Mewada '19 [1-8] Grace Bloomfield '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Katherine Robinson '19 [3-4]
Hannah Erbrick '21 [5-6]

Conditions — 09/09/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1017.0 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.6 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 23.9 kn
From ENE (61°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover3% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1017.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn · NE 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tulane: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.27 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →