Coho Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 27 10 37
2 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 26 29 55
3 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 30 39 69
4 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 47 32 79
5 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 58 42 100
6 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 40 81 121
7 Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 55 67 122
8 Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 78 60 138
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 3 4 3 1 2 5 1 2 2 3 26 Declan Gaylo '19 [1-4]
Zane Tinnell '20 [5-8]
Taylor Reiss '18 [9-10]
Josiah Ng '19 [1-4]
Matthew Migliozzi '20 [5-8]
Zane Tinnell '20 [9-10]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 1 1 2 4 2 DSQ 5 1 1 27 Thomas Capozzi '19
Brigid Murphy '20
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 2 3 2 5 3 1 3 1 4 6 30 Troy Dittenhofer '20
Angelina Graham '19
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 4 2 7 4 7 3 5 3 3 2 40 Emmeline Mroczko '21
Catherine Reedy '22
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 5 6 5 6 5 4 2 4 6 4 47 Jeffrey Proko '18 [1-10]
Tobias Green '22 [1-4, 9]
Paula Cabot Jaume '22 [5-8, 10]
Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 7 7 4 3 1 8 6 7 7 5 55
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 6 5 6 7 6 6 4 6 5 7 58 Kevin Holmes '21
Kevin Johnston '21
Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 8 8 8 78
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 Eamonn Austin '19
Sarah Jackman '21
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 3 2 2 2 2 2 5 3 3 5 29 John Dixon '20 [1-2]
Alec Bidwell '21 [3-6, 9-10]
Peter Wiley '19 [7-8]
Inga Johansson '21 [1-2]
Robert Maes '21 [3-6]
Jack Becker '21 [7-8]
Blake Loncharich '19 [9-10]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 4 3 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 3 32 Elizabeth Jarvie '18 [1-2, 4, 6-10]
Lindsey Winter '20 [3, 5]
Lindsey Winter '20 [1-2, 4, 6-10]
Elizabeth Jarvie '18 [3, 5]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 2 4 6 5 6 3 3 4 4 2 39 Sean Boland '18 [1-10]
Lauren Pepsny '18 [1-7, 9-10]
Megan Parker '19 [8]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 6 BKD 3 3 3 5 4 5 5 4 42 Samuel Parsons '21
Bailey Mcaleese '21
Black Knights Black Knights Black Knights 5 6 5 6 5 7 6 6 7 7 60
Retrievers Retrievers Retrievers 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 7 6 6 67
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions DNF 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 81 Victor Lu '19
Jack Bradley '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Black KnightsBlack Knights Black Knights66882244
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons11335577
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams22446688
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners55771133
RetrieversRetrievers Retrievers77113355
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings44668822
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions33557711
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers88224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Black KnightsBlack Knights Black Knights77113355
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons22446688
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams33557711
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners66882244
RetrieversRetrievers Retrievers88224466
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings55771133
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions44668822
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Jeffrey Proko '18 [1-10] Tobias Green '22 [1-4, 9]
Paula Cabot Jaume '22 [5-8, 10]
Dragons Elizabeth Jarvie '18 [1-2, 4, 6-10]
Lindsey Winter '20 [3, 5]
Lindsey Winter '20 [1-2, 4, 6-10]
Elizabeth Jarvie '18 [3, 5]
Fordham University Fordham University Thomas Capozzi '19 Brigid Murphy '20
Rams Eamonn Austin '19 Sarah Jackman '21
Ocean County College Ocean County College Troy Dittenhofer '20 Angelina Graham '19
Vikings Sean Boland '18 [1-10] Lauren Pepsny '18 [1-7, 9-10]
Megan Parker '19 [8]
Penn State University Penn State University Emmeline Mroczko '21 Catherine Reedy '22
Nittany Lions Victor Lu '19 Jack Bradley '21
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Kevin Holmes '21 Kevin Johnston '21
Mariners Samuel Parsons '21 Bailey Mcaleese '21
Webb Institute Webb Institute Declan Gaylo '19 [1-4]
Zane Tinnell '20 [5-8]
Taylor Reiss '18 [9-10]
Josiah Ng '19 [1-4]
Matthew Migliozzi '20 [5-8]
Zane Tinnell '20 [9-10]
Clippers John Dixon '20 [1-2]
Alec Bidwell '21 [3-6, 9-10]
Peter Wiley '19 [7-8]
Inga Johansson '21 [1-2]
Robert Maes '21 [3-6]
Jack Becker '21 [7-8]
Blake Loncharich '19 [9-10]

Conditions — 10/14/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1022.9 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.1 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From N (358°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine4.5 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1022.9 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · SW 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Webb Institute: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Webb Institute by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Webb Institute, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →