Emma Biagioni 2017

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 15 20 35
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 25 18 43
3 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 27 18 45
4 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 11 35 46
5 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 1 35 MRP 26 MRP 61 MRP
6 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 2 47 MRP 33 MRP 80 MRP
7 Spartans Spartans Spartans 40 MRP 43 MRP 83 MRP
8 Broncos Broncos Broncos 40 MRP 47 MRP 87 MRP
9 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 52 MRP 45 MRP 97 MRP
10 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 58 MRP 56 MRP 114 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 1 5 4 11 Bobby Sessions '20
Karaline Black '20
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 6 2 2 5 15 John Lowry '19
Benjamin Riley '19
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 5 DNF 3 6 25 Connor Goulet '21
Patrick Ryan '20
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 3 DNF 6 7 27 Geoffrey Owens '18 [1-4]
Madison Jewell '20 [1-2]
Emily Bichsel '18 [3-4]
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 1 2 DNF 1 1 35 MRP Elliot Lee '18
Antoinette Martin '20
Spartans Spartans Spartans 7 3 7 3 40 MRP
Broncos Broncos Broncos 10 4 4 2 40 MRP
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 2 4 6 8 9 47 MRP Joseph Kurta '20
Jared Smith '20
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 9 5 10 8 52 MRP Caroline Ritter '18
Sydney Withers '18
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 8 DNF 9 10 58 MRP Alec Anderson '20 [1-4]
Sydney Disalvo '20 [1-2]
Emileigh Bechtolt '20 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 2 5 5 6 18 Bay Hodge '21 [1-4]
David Millstein '18 [1-2]
Kyra Martin '18 [3-4]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 7 4 2 5 18 Sarah Youtt '21
Adam Cooper '20
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 5 2 9 4 20 Brian Pribe '22 [1-4]
Kristen Ruta '19 [1-2]
Kaitlin Conner '20 [3-4]
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 1 3 1 1 1 26 MRP Liam Walz '21
Nicholas Smart '18
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 2 1 3 6 3 33 MRP Ryan Higgins '20
Nichole Kievit '19
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles DSQ 9 8 7 35 Colin Higgins '21 [1-2]
Connor Mccoll '19 [3-4]
Cecilia Dietzler '21 [1-2]
Stacy Mellantine '19 [3-4]
Spartans Spartans Spartans 9 8 4 2 43 MRP
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 4 6 7 8 45 MRP Jacob Pledger '18
Laura Anderson '18
Broncos Broncos Broncos 8 7 3 9 47 MRP
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 6 10 10 10 56 MRP Noah Brush '19
Becca Fuss '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons881010
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers 11133
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers 22255
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen3366
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles5577
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines9944
SpartansSpartans Spartans6688
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes7799
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets101011
BroncosBroncos Broncos111122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons9944
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers 12255
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers 23366
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen5577
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles6688
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines101011
SpartansSpartans Spartans7799
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes881010
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets4422
BroncosBroncos Broncos1133

Conditions — 11/04/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1018.8 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 34°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 13.0 kn
Gusts to 26.4 kn
From E (87°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1018.8 hPa Rain0.29 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 12 kn · W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hope: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.31 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hope by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Hope, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →