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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 22 13 35
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 19 16 35
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 25 29 54
4 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 27 MRP 31 MRP 58 MRP
5 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 30 MRP 35 MRP 65 MRP
6 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 43 MRP 41 MRP 84 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 DSQ 4 4 1 3 19 Dillon Kilroy '19
Madelyn Carr '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 3 3 6 4 6 22 Harrison Saliba '21
Sydney Salesky '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 4 5 5 6 5 25 Karey Sharp '21
Jordanne Johnson '21
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 2 1 1 2 1 27 MRP Erik Skeel '20
Bekah Ashpole '18
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 1 2 2 3 2 30 MRP
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 5 6 3 5 4 43 MRP Colin Bishop '20 [1, 3-5]
Jonathan Kelly '20 [2]
Hunter Arcese '19 [1, 3-5]
Yitian Cauthen '18 [2]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 3 1 2 2 5 13 Chandler Sharp '19
Giancarlo Defrancesco '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 4 3 4 1 4 16 Carter Erickson '18
Yumi-Shika Shridhar '20
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 6 6 6 5 6 29 Bay Whitney '21
Amber Crabb '20
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 4 1 3 2 31 MRP Nathaniel Gordon '20
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 2 5 3 4 1 35 MRP
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 5 2 5 6 3 41 MRP Noah Salmen-Hartley '21 [1, 3-5]
Lukas Koch '21 [2]
Francis Westlake '19 [1, 3-5]
David Goede '21 [2]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes8989898989
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 18686868686

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes8989898989
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 18686868686

Conditions — 10/28/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1013.0 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 13.1 kn
Gusts to 27.6 kn
From S (182°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover74% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1013.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 5 kn · E 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.29)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →