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SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 9 9 18
2 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 15 10 25
3 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 17 27 44
4 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 32 23 55
5 Tigers Tigers Tigers 20 44 64
6 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 25 40 65
7 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 46 20 66
8 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 49 28 77
9 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 42 37 79
10 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 31 50 81
11 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 44 43 87
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 1 2 1 2 3 9 John Fewell '20
Sarah Deloach '21
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 5 4 1 1 15 James Whitmore '20
Max Williams '20
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 5 1 2 7 2 17 Vincent Miao '18
Julia Dworetzky '21
Tigers Tigers Tigers 2 3 5 5 5 20
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 7 6 3 3 6 25 Maggie Royal '20 [1-5]
Austin Rose '21 [1-2, 5]
Pedro Arango '20 [3-4]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 6 7 6 8 4 31 Chandler Hill '19
Alex Marshall '20
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 3 4 9 9 7 32 Robert Gruskos '20 [1-4]
Andrew Dodd '21 [5]
Phillip Burkhardt '18 [1-4]
Susanna Massalon '18 [5]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 8 10 7 6 11 42 Andrew Hopkins '19 [1-4]
Kathryn Jerwann '19 [5]
Kathryn Jerwann '19 [1-4]
Karl Martin '20 [5]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 11 9 11 4 9 44 Ross Oliver '19
Davidson Goldsmith '18
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 10 8 10 10 8 46 Robert Williams '21 [1-5]
Taylor Wood '18 [1-2]
Adam Tresenrider '20 [3-5]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 9 11 8 11 10 49 Elijah Jones '18
Rachel Powell '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Coed 1 3 2 1 2 9 Jack Gonzales '18
Elizabeth Lonergan '20
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 4 2 1 2 1 10 Elizabeth Mignon '19
Katherine Matheson '18
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 3 5 4 3 5 20 Graham Shivers '19 [1-4]
Maria Teresa Felix '19 [5]
Elizabeth Howard '20 [1-4]
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 2 4 5 6 6 23 Andrew Dodd '21 [1-2]
Samuel Cabiness '20 [3-5]
Susanna Massalon '18 [1-4]
Alex Marshall '20 [5]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 11 1 7 4 4 27 Avery Fulford '21 [1-5]
Katie Cassedy '20 [1-2, 5]
Annika Hsu '21 [3-4]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 8 6 6 5 3 28 James Robertson '18
Madelyn Giles '20
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 7 8 3 9 10 37 Karl Martin '20 [1-2]
Heyward Derrick '21 [3-5]
Weston Sanders '20 [1-2]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 7 8 11 9 40 Henri Smulders '19 [1-5]
Nicholas Brittain '21 [1-2, 5]
Ledyard Mcfadden '21 [3-4]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 9 11 9 7 7 43 Benjamin Tonks '19 [1-5]
Emma Cronin '19 [1-2, 5]
Carolyn Bresnahan '19 [3-4]
Tigers Tigers Tigers 6 10 DNF 8 8 44
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 10 9 10 10 11 50 Ian Cannon '19 [1-2, 5]
William Axon '20 [3-4]
Gaby Alumbaugh '21 [1-4]
Greg Farrell '21 [5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
TigersTigers Tigers11335
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44668
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 122446
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 233557
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils55779
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs8810101
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets668810
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack779911
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed1010113
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers1111224
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks9911112

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
TigersTigers Tigers22446
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars55779
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 133557
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 244668
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils668810
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs9911112
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets779911
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack8810101
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Coed1111224
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers11335
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks1010113
School / Team SkipperCrew
Clemson University Clemson University Robert Gruskos '20 [1-4]
Andrew Dodd '21 [5]		 Phillip Burkhardt '18 [1-4]
Susanna Massalon '18 [5]
Tigers 1 Andrew Dodd '21 [1-2]
Samuel Cabiness '20 [3-5]		 Susanna Massalon '18 [1-4]
Alex Marshall '20 [5]
Clemson University Clemson University Andrew Hopkins '19 [1-4]
Kathryn Jerwann '19 [5]		 Kathryn Jerwann '19 [1-4]
Karl Martin '20 [5]
Tigers 2 Karl Martin '20 [1-2]
Heyward Derrick '21 [3-5]		 Weston Sanders '20 [1-2]
College of Charleston College of Charleston James Whitmore '20 Max Williams '20
Cougars Elizabeth Mignon '19 Katherine Matheson '18
Duke University Duke University Vincent Miao '18 Julia Dworetzky '21
Blue Devils Avery Fulford '21 [1-5] Katie Cassedy '20 [1-2, 5]
Annika Hsu '21 [3-4]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Maggie Royal '20 [1-5] Austin Rose '21 [1-2, 5]
Pedro Arango '20 [3-4]
Yellow Jackets Henri Smulders '19 [1-5] Nicholas Brittain '21 [1-2, 5]
Ledyard Mcfadden '21 [3-4]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Elijah Jones '18 Rachel Powell '18
Wolfpack James Robertson '18 Madelyn Giles '20
University of Georgia University of Georgia Ross Oliver '19 Davidson Goldsmith '18
Bulldogs Benjamin Tonks '19 [1-5] Emma Cronin '19 [1-2, 5]
Carolyn Bresnahan '19 [3-4]
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Robert Williams '21 [1-5] Taylor Wood '18 [1-2]
Adam Tresenrider '20 [3-5]
Seahawks Graham Shivers '19 [1-4]
Maria Teresa Felix '19 [5]		 Elizabeth Howard '20 [1-4]
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina John Fewell '20 Sarah Deloach '21
Coed Jack Gonzales '18 Elizabeth Lonergan '20
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Chandler Hill '19 Alex Marshall '20
Volunteers Ian Cannon '19 [1-2, 5]
William Axon '20 [3-4]		 Gaby Alumbaugh '21 [1-4]
Greg Farrell '21 [5]

Conditions — 09/30/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 38%  ·  Pressure 1020.5 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.2 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From ENE (62°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover41% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity38% Pressure1020.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Clemson: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clemson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Clemson).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →