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SAISA South Points #5

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 26 17 43
2 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 27 53 80
3 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 57 33 90
4 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 48 57 105
5 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 60 49 109
6 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 59 51 110
7 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 53 62 115
8 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 57 75 132
9 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 75 81 156
10 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 88 76 164
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 1 10 2 1 6 1 1 1 2 1 26 Jack Gower '20
Mia Porter '22
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 5 1 1 3 2 2 2 5 3 3 27 Samuel Armington '18
Katie Dodge '18
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 6 4 9 6 1 4 9 6 1 2 48 Cameron Douglas '20
Ainsley Parramore '20
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 2 6 3 8 4 7 3 9 5 6 53 Jeffrey Hayden '20
Lauren Moran '20
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 3 2 4 10 7 3 6 7 10 5 57 Paula Resto '20 [1-4]
David Perez '21 [5-10]
Peter Steo '19 [1-4]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 8 8 7 2 5 8 7 2 6 4 57 Geoffrey St. John '19
Virginia Kilbourne '20
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 4 7 5 5 8 5 5 3 9 8 59 Hunter Sorensen '21
Rachel Daye '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 10 9 6 4 3 6 4 4 4 10 60 Ian Hunter '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Gage Wilson '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Rachel Custer '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 7 3 8 7 10 10 8 8 7 7 75 Teagan Walsh '20 [1-5, 8-10]
Samantha Capozzi '21 [6-7]
Francesco Facciaponte '18 [1-5, 8-10]
Corinne Keogh '21 [6-7]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 9 5 10 9 9 9 10 10 8 9 88 John Macmoyle '21
Briana Gomes '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 1 1 2 1 4 1 1 1 1 4 17 Chase Burwell '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Telmo Basterra '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Emily Gilreath '21 [1-2]
Jessica Schwartz '18 [3-10]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 2 6 1 4 1 4 3 4 2 6 33 Connor Ratcliff '21
Samantha Pynchon '20
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 3 7 2 8 7 2 6 8 5 3 1 49 Chris Kiener '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ben Mckissick-Hawley '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Caleb Gill '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 9 9 5 3 6 3 2 6 5 3 51 Kyle Runnfeldt '20
Sara Simon '15
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 8 8 3 9 7 2 5 2 4 5 53 David Beaudry '20
Juliana Cromie '20
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 3 3 6 5 10 9 6 7 6 2 57 Connor Ratcliff '21
Sabine Zinserling '20
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 5 5 7 6 8 5 7 3 7 9 62 Kurban Ali '21
Michel Peterson '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 4 4 4 2 9 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS 75 Courtney Purcell '20
Avery Bechthole '20
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 6 10 9 8 3 7 9 8 9 7 76 Joseph Ricca '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Olivia Keefe '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Olivia Keefe '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Joseph Ricca '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 10 7 10 10 5 10 4 9 8 8 81 Nick Baker '20 [1-10]
Oliver Santry '19 [1-6]
Miranda Arce '20 [7-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 11133557799
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 2224466881010
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators881010224466
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles3355779911
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 1446688101022
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 25577991133
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 3668810102244
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes9911335577
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars7799113355
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls101022446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 114141616181820202222
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 215151717191921211313
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators21211313151517171919
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles16161818202022221414
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 117171919212113131515
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 218182020222214141616
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins 319192121131315151717
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes22221414161618182020
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars20202222141416161818
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls13131515171719192121
School / Team SkipperCrew
Eckerd College Eckerd College Geoffrey St. John '19 Virginia Kilbourne '20
Tritons 1 Connor Ratcliff '21 Samantha Pynchon '20
Eckerd College Eckerd College Cameron Douglas '20 Ainsley Parramore '20
Tritons 2 Connor Ratcliff '21 Sabine Zinserling '20
Florida State University Florida State University Jeffrey Hayden '20 Lauren Moran '20
Seminoles Kurban Ali '21 Michel Peterson '18
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jack Gower '20 Mia Porter '22
Fins 1 Chase Burwell '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Telmo Basterra '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 Emily Gilreath '21 [1-2]
Jessica Schwartz '18 [3-10]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Paula Resto '20 [1-4]
David Perez '21 [5-10]		 Peter Steo '19 [1-4]
Fins 2 Courtney Purcell '20 Avery Bechthole '20
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Ian Hunter '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Gage Wilson '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 Rachel Custer '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Fins 3 Chris Kiener '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Ben Mckissick-Hawley '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Caleb Gill '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Rollins College Rollins College Teagan Walsh '20 [1-5, 8-10]
Samantha Capozzi '21 [6-7]		 Francesco Facciaponte '18 [1-5, 8-10]
Corinne Keogh '21 [6-7]
Tars Nick Baker '20 [1-10] Oliver Santry '19 [1-6]
Miranda Arce '20 [7-10]
University of Florida University of Florida Samuel Armington '18 Katie Dodge '18
Gators David Beaudry '20 Juliana Cromie '20
University of Miami University of Miami John Macmoyle '21 Briana Gomes '18
Hurricanes Joseph Ricca '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Olivia Keefe '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 Olivia Keefe '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Joseph Ricca '21 [3-4, 7-8]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Hunter Sorensen '21 Rachel Daye '18
Bulls Kyle Runnfeldt '20 Sara Simon '15

Conditions — 10/07/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 80%  ·  Pressure 1014.8 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 87°F   ↓ 77°F
Feels like 92°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 11.0 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From SE (139°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity80% Pressure1014.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Jacksonville: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.17)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.20 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 15% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jacksonville by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at Jacksonville).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →