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Wisco Women's

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 18 14 32
2 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 25 23 48
3 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 20 32 52
4 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 62 42 104
5 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 37 90 127
6 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 68 59 127
7 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers Red 90 90 180
8 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers White 90 90 180
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 3 4 2 1 18 Katherine O'Donnell '19 [1-10]
Mariel Tang '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jillian Rochelle '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 2 1 4 2 3 3 1 1 1 2 20 Susan Riley '17 [1-10]
Audrey Debruine '19 [1-2, 5-10]
Olivia Martins '20 [3-4]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 4 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 25 Cailin Oakes '18
Bailey Adkins '19
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 37 Hannah Thayer '20
Claire Foley '20
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 DNS DNS 62 Delaney Imbler '17
Carrington Gelardi '18
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 5 5 5 5 6 6 DNS DNS DNS DNS 68 Emma Jordan-Wood '19
Natalie Wollenzien '19
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers Red RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF 90 Andrea Sullivan '18 [1-10]
Maggie Houtz '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Charlie Childs '19 [5-6, 9-10]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers White RAF DNF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF DNF RAF RAF 90 Cailin Considine '19 [1-10]
Collette Collins '20 [1-6, 9-10]
Sydney Sauer '21 [7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 14 Emily Guo '20
Alyssa Larios '19
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 4 3 23 Maya Smith '19
Cassandra Trask '20
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 4 4 3 3 5 5 2 2 3 1 32 Jennie Werner '18 [1-4, 7-10]
Kiersa Berg '21 [5-6]
Kiersa Berg '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Caroline Lesniak '21 [3-6, 9-10]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 5 3 DNF 5 4 3 4 4 1 4 42 Rebeccca Sadoski '18 [1-10]
Jessica Ruetz '18 [1-6]
Halle Brosky '21 [7-8]
Kalee Bostick '20 [9-10]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 3 5 4 4 3 4 DNF DNS DNS DNS 59 Caitlin Chenus '19
Daniela Perret '18
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers Red RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF 90 Katherine Zimmerman '18 [1-10]
Anastasiya May '20 [1-2, 7-10]
Rebekah Janssen '21 [3-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers White RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF RAF 90 Caroline Skotarzak '21 [1-10]
Emily Anaya '18 [1-2]
Alise Mintz '19 [3-10]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 90 Murphy Vandervest '21
Anna Wisotzkey '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes5577993355
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines668810104466
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers7799335577
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 13355779933
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 2446688101044
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets881010446688
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers Red9933557799
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers White10104466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes668810104466
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines7799335577
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers881010446688
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 1446688101044
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 25577993355
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets9933557799
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers Red10104466881010
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers White3355779933
School / Team SkipperCrew
Northwestern University Northwestern University Katherine O'Donnell '19 [1-10] Mariel Tang '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jillian Rochelle '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Wildcats 1 Emily Guo '20 Alyssa Larios '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University Susan Riley '17 [1-10] Audrey Debruine '19 [1-2, 5-10]
Olivia Martins '20 [3-4]
Wildcats 2 Jennie Werner '18 [1-4, 7-10]
Kiersa Berg '21 [5-6]		 Kiersa Berg '21 [1-2, 7-8]
Caroline Lesniak '21 [3-6, 9-10]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Emma Jordan-Wood '19 Natalie Wollenzien '19
Hawkeyes Caitlin Chenus '19 Daniela Perret '18
University of Michigan University of Michigan Hannah Thayer '20 Claire Foley '20
Wolverines Murphy Vandervest '21 Anna Wisotzkey '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Cailin Oakes '18 Bailey Adkins '19
Gophers Maya Smith '19 Cassandra Trask '20
University of Toledo University of Toledo Delaney Imbler '17 Carrington Gelardi '18
Rockets Rebeccca Sadoski '18 [1-10] Jessica Ruetz '18 [1-6]
Halle Brosky '21 [7-8]
Kalee Bostick '20 [9-10]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Andrea Sullivan '18 [1-10] Maggie Houtz '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Charlie Childs '19 [5-6, 9-10]
Badgers Red Katherine Zimmerman '18 [1-10] Anastasiya May '20 [1-2, 7-10]
Rebekah Janssen '21 [3-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Cailin Considine '19 [1-10] Collette Collins '20 [1-6, 9-10]
Sydney Sauer '21 [7-8]
Badgers White Caroline Skotarzak '21 [1-10] Emily Anaya '18 [1-2]
Alise Mintz '19 [3-10]

Conditions — 10/21/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1012.9 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.1 kn
avg  ·  max 14.0 kn
Gusts to 28.8 kn
From S (178°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1012.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · NW 11 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wisconsin: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.19)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.31
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.35 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.19 means a rating gap counts about 16% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wisconsin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (41 labelled days at Wisconsin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →