Aggie Fall

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 14 34 48
2 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 42 MRP 13 55 MRP
3 Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 1 31 29 60
4 University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 28 41 69
5 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 59 MRP 23 82 MRP
6 Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 2 56 30 86
7 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 54 MRP 51 105 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 1 3 1 2 1 4 1 1 14 Daniel Kendrick '19 [1-8]
Nolan Bradberry '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Noah Ferguson '22 [3-4, 7-8]
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 3 4 6 3 3 1 6 2 28 Emma Cooledge '20
Johnathan Henkel '20
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 1 5 2 5 4 5 2 3 5 31 Sofia Giordano '20
Dahlia Martinez '20
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 2 1 2 5 2 3 4 3 42 MRP Emily Verdoia '20 [1-8]
Carter Young '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Hunter Mcconie '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 4 6 4 1 4 6 5 4 54 MRP Jules Bettler '20 [1-8]
Everett Wainright '19 [1-2]
Fabian Macias '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Jette Polasek '21 [5-6]
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 2 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 56 Kimberly Diaz '22
Victoria Bender '22
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 6 5 3 6 6 5 2 6 59 MRP Frederik Winguth '21 [1-8]
Mckenzie Kotara '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Allie Gretzinger '21 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 4 2 13 Michael Hernandez '20 [1-6]
Gabriella Wong '20 [7-8]
Gabriella Wong '20 [1-6]
Michael Hernandez '20 [7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 5 3 2 4 4 2 2 1 23 Clayton Lawrence '20 [1-8]
Jordin Perry '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Lillian Andersen '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 1 2 1 6 RDG 3 3 6 4 29 Alexandro Lopez '21
Vanessa Tetzlaff '21
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 2 7 4 5 2 2 4 1 5 30 Christian Ravesloot '22
Natalie Kulka '21
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 3 5 4 5 5 6 3 3 34 Gabby Spring '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jonathan Rolling '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Jonathan Rolling '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Gabby Spring '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of North Texas University of North Texas North Texas 4 6 3 3 7 7 5 6 41 Brendan Frederick '21
Marcin Kostrzewa '20
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 2 6 7 7 6 6 5 7 7 51 Elizabeth Bik '21 [1-8]
Katherine Mason '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Riley Hoofard '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 111336688
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 222447711
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas66882244
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 177113366
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 288224477
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 133668822
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 244771133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 122447711
Loyola University New OrleansLoyola University New Orleans Wolfpack 233668822
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas North Texas77113366
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 188224477
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 211336688
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 144771133
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies 266882244
School / Team SkipperCrew
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Sofia Giordano '20 Dahlia Martinez '20
Wolfpack 1 Alexandro Lopez '21 Vanessa Tetzlaff '21
Loyola University New Orleans Loyola University New Orleans Kimberly Diaz '22 Victoria Bender '22
Wolfpack 2 Christian Ravesloot '22 Natalie Kulka '21
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Daniel Kendrick '19 [1-8] Nolan Bradberry '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Noah Ferguson '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Aggies 1 Gabby Spring '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jonathan Rolling '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Jonathan Rolling '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Gabby Spring '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Jules Bettler '20 [1-8] Everett Wainright '19 [1-2]
Fabian Macias '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Jette Polasek '21 [5-6]
Aggies 2 Elizabeth Bik '21 [1-8] Katherine Mason '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Riley Hoofard '21 [3-4, 7-8]
University of North Texas University of North Texas Emma Cooledge '20 Johnathan Henkel '20
North Texas Brendan Frederick '21 Marcin Kostrzewa '20
University of Texas University of Texas Emily Verdoia '20 [1-8] Carter Young '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Hunter Mcconie '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Longhorns 1 Michael Hernandez '20 [1-6]
Gabriella Wong '20 [7-8]
Gabriella Wong '20 [1-6]
Michael Hernandez '20 [7-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Frederik Winguth '21 [1-8] Mckenzie Kotara '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Allie Gretzinger '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Longhorns 2 Clayton Lawrence '20 [1-8] Jordin Perry '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Lillian Andersen '21 [3-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 09/22/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1012.1 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 77°F
Feels like 86°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.8 kn
Gusts to 24.5 kn
From SSW (211°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine5.0 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1012.1 hPa Rain0.14 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas A&M: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.18 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Texas A&M, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →