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Buckeye Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 14 16 30
2 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 45 15 60
3 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 22 68 90
4 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 66 MRP 64 MRP 130 MRP
5 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 86 MRP 54 MRP 140 MRP
6 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 67 78 145
7 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 86 62 148
8 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 61 MRP 92 MRP 153 MRP
9 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 83 MRP 83 MRP 166 MRP
10 Denison University Denison University Big Red 110 110 220
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 14 Thomas Szymanski '22
Kata Lamb '20
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 2 2 3 2 1 4 2 1 1 4 22 Rishab Nayar '22
Mckenzie White '19
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 7 3 5 3 3 7 4 3 5 5 45 Chase Ireland '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Martin Moore '22 [3-4, 7-10]
Torrey Leonard '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Ian Waddell '19 [3-4, 7-10]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 4 4 2 6 4 3 7 4 4 3 61 MRP Anastasia Sikkila '22
Casey Mcvoy '20
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 8 5 4 5 7 1 6 5 3 2 66 MRP Eva Rossell '23 [1-10]
Alix Labelle '19 [1-6]
Mary Telly '18 [7-10]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 9 7 8 4 6 8 3 7 7 8 67 Miranda Mottice '22
Kati Cheung '19
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 3 9 6 7 8 5 5 8 6 6 83 MRP Andrew Wenk '22 [1-5]
Chase Clark '20 [6-10]
Charles Hoffmann '21 [1-5]
Graham Gunderman '22 [6-10]
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 5 6 7 8 5 6 8 6 8 7 86 MRP Justin Edick '19 [1-10]
Conor Burns '21 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9]
Andrew Barce '22 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 6 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 86 Katie Sanford '19 [1-10]
Karly Jagodzinski '21 [1-2]
Paul Murrin '20 [3-4]
Jaret Bouman '22 [5-6]
Sarah Sanford '21 [7-10]
Denison University Denison University Big Red DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 110 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 15 Tony Prenger '20
Alexander Kiraly '20
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 16 James Kennedy '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Sophia Henn '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Kevin Gallagher '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 4 2 3 3 3 4 3 6 3 3 54 MRP Nina Mcalvey '20 [1-10]
Grace Goszkowicz '22 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9]
Paul Dicicco '22 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 8 5 8 5 8 7 6 5 5 5 62 Jamie Christie '21 [1-10]
Jackie Moran '22 [1-2]
Jackie Clark '24 [3-4]
Erin Burk '22 [5-6]
Jordon Kiger '22 [7-10]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 3 4 4 7 4 3 5 4 6 4 64 MRP Zachary Martlock '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Hannah Baird '20 [3-6, 9-10]
Brenna Hover '22 [1-2]
Zachary Martlock '19 [3-4]
Alexandra Burt '21 [5-10]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 6 7 7 8 9 8 4 3 7 9 68 Hamza Wasim '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Heather Craker '22 [3-6, 9-10]
Taylor Mcnamee '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 9 9 9 6 7 6 8 7 9 8 78 Julia Cheung '20 [1-2]
Madeline Osborne '21 [3-4]
Casey Schomer '20 [5-6]
Sydney Disalvo '20 [7-10]
Kayla Hepler '21 [1-2]
Casey Schomer '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Madeline Osborne '21 [5-6, 9-10]
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 7 6 5 4 5 DNF 7 8 4 6 83 MRP Jacob Maher '22 [1-6]
Jacob Veta '19 [7-10]
Ryan Sarver '20 [1-6]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 5 8 6 9 6 5 9 9 8 7 92 MRP Julio Zuarth Gonzalez '19 [1-5]
Jack Archer '20 [6-10]
Matthew Remington '05 [1-6]
Julio Zuarth Gonzalez '19 [7-10]
Denison University Denison University Big Red DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 110 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red114477991212
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen1111558810101818
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks447799121211
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans5588101018181111
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish121211447799
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats991212114477
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 1779912121144
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 28810101818111155
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers1010181811115588
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos1818111155881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Denison UniversityDenison University Big Red1111558810101818
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen447799121211
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks5588101018181111
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans779912121144
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish1818111155881010
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats1010181811115588
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 18810101818111155
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 2991212114477
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers121211447799
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos114477991212
School / Team SkipperCrew
Denison University Denison University No Show No Show
Big Red No Show No Show
Hope College Hope College Justin Edick '19 [1-10] Conor Burns '21 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9]
Andrew Barce '22 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Flying Dutchmen Nina Mcalvey '20 [1-10] Grace Goszkowicz '22 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9]
Paul Dicicco '22 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10]
Miami University Miami University Andrew Wenk '22 [1-5]
Chase Clark '20 [6-10]		 Charles Hoffmann '21 [1-5]
Graham Gunderman '22 [6-10]
Red Hawks Jacob Maher '22 [1-6]
Jacob Veta '19 [7-10]		 Ryan Sarver '20 [1-6]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Eva Rossell '23 [1-10] Alix Labelle '19 [1-6]
Mary Telly '18 [7-10]
Spartans Zachary Martlock '19 [1-2, 7-8]
Hannah Baird '20 [3-6, 9-10]		 Brenna Hover '22 [1-2]
Zachary Martlock '19 [3-4]
Alexandra Burt '21 [5-10]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Chase Ireland '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Martin Moore '22 [3-4, 7-10]		 Torrey Leonard '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Ian Waddell '19 [3-4, 7-10]
Buckeyes 1 Tony Prenger '20 Alexander Kiraly '20
Ohio State University Ohio State University Miranda Mottice '22 Kati Cheung '19
Buckeyes 2 Julia Cheung '20 [1-2]
Madeline Osborne '21 [3-4]
Casey Schomer '20 [5-6]
Sydney Disalvo '20 [7-10]		 Kayla Hepler '21 [1-2]
Casey Schomer '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Madeline Osborne '21 [5-6, 9-10]
Ohio University Ohio University Katie Sanford '19 [1-10] Karly Jagodzinski '21 [1-2]
Paul Murrin '20 [3-4]
Jaret Bouman '22 [5-6]
Sarah Sanford '21 [7-10]
Bobcats Jamie Christie '21 [1-10] Jackie Moran '22 [1-2]
Jackie Clark '24 [3-4]
Erin Burk '22 [5-6]
Jordon Kiger '22 [7-10]
Purdue University Purdue University Rishab Nayar '22 Mckenzie White '19
Boilermakers Hamza Wasim '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Heather Craker '22 [3-6, 9-10]		 Taylor Mcnamee '22 [1-2, 7-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Thomas Szymanski '22 Kata Lamb '20
Fighting Irish James Kennedy '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Sophia Henn '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 Kevin Gallagher '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Anastasia Sikkila '22 Casey Mcvoy '20
Broncos Julio Zuarth Gonzalez '19 [1-5]
Jack Archer '20 [6-10]		 Matthew Remington '05 [1-6]
Julio Zuarth Gonzalez '19 [7-10]

Conditions — 09/15/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1019.2 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 85°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 86°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.2 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From ENE (77°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover11% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1019.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · E 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ohio State: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.20 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.36 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ohio State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Ohio State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →