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Harvard Invitational

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 32
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 46
3 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 63
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 65
5 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 88
6 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 137
7 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 148 MRP
8 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 155 MRP
9 University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters 189 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 2 2 3 2 1 10 Collin Alexander '20
Liam Dwyer '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 3 1 BYE BYE 3 11 Andrew Savage '19
Kahler Newsham '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 4 3 1 1 2 11 Christopher Pearson '20
Ryan Geib '19
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 5 4 2 5 5 21 Peter Gunn '20
Edward Gary '22
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers B 1 6 4 7 8 26 Jeremy Mcculloch '22
Maile Jim '22
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson A 7 10 5 4 4 30 Eric Hansen '23
Lisa Van Der Sluijs '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 6 5 11 6 7 35 Evan Robison '21
Michaela Morris '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers A 8 8 6 9 6 37 Charles Lindsay '21
Danielle Slavin '22
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 11 12 13 8 11 55 Gabriella Schmidt '22
Maggie Alter '22
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs A 14 9 9 12 13 57 Isabel Rombult '19
Page Veaze '20
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges A 10 7 8 3 10 58 MRP Serra Pelin '20 [1-5]
Mariya Teslya '22 [1-2]
Jolie Gentzkow-Foster '21 [3-5]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson B 9 11 12 14 12 58 Paul Kuechler '22
Gayatri Balasubramanian '21
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies A BYE BYE 10 10 9 69 MRP Ellen Fuller '22
Sarah Woodward '21
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies B 13 14 7 11 14 79 MRP Alexandra Burke '21
Devin Kot-Thompson '22
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs B 15 15 17 16 17 80 Melanie Muzyka '19
Abbey Rogers '21
University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters A 12 16 15 13 BYE 90 MRP Sierra Brown '21
Caitlyn Daly '21
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges B 16 17 14 15 15 97 MRP Abby Smurzynski '21
Nicholas Greco '22
University of New England University of New England Nor'Easters B 17 13 16 17 16 99 MRP Max Russell '21
Emma Jones '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (43 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11223
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges221118
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies554
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson33445
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers44332
University of New EnglandUniversity of New England Nor'Easters8877
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams99101011
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos557
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs77889

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1010998
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges1111121213
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1515161617
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson1212111110
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers1313141415
University of New EnglandUniversity of New England Nor'Easters171718181
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1818171716
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1414131312
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs1616151514

Conditions — 09/23/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1023.9 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.3 kn
avg  ·  max 4.3 kn
Gusts to 9.3 kn
From W (263°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine8.4 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1023.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Harvard: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.46 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →