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SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 10 5 15
2 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 10 10 20
3 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 8 14 22
4 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 26 14 40
5 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 28 20 48
6 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 16 42 58
7 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 34 24 58
8 Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 26 34 60
9 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 32 33 65
10 Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 36 35 71
11 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 38 33 71
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 1 2 2 8 Travis Tucker '20
Samuel Marcom '22
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 4 4 1 10 Patrick Shannon '20
Jack Sutton '22
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 2 2 1 5 10 John Fewell '20
Caroline Keinath '21
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 4 5 3 4 16 Harrison Reisinger '22 [1-4]
Alex Marshall '20 [1-2]
John Deason '22 [3-4]
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 5 7 6 8 26 Avery Fulford '21
Annika Hsu '21
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 8 10 5 3 26 Tj Danilek '22
Madison Carroll '20
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 6 6 7 9 28 Megan Ploch '21
Zoe Genet '21
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 9 9 8 6 32 Thompson Betts '20
Robert Mclean '19
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 10 3 10 11 34 Sara Boyd '22
Brett Latimer '20
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 7 11 11 7 36 Caitlin Welch '22
Lauren Browne '22
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 11 8 9 10 38 Jennifer Cahalan '19
Greyson Emory '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 2 1 1 5 Malcolm Benn Smith '21
Austin Googer '21
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 4 1 3 2 10 Mackey Leventis '19
Ashley Thess '19
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 3 4 5 14 Carrie Marshall '21
Emilia Giovine '22
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 5 2 4 14 Scott Harris '22
Robert Dubman '21
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 4 5 6 20 Robert Beauchamp '20
Michael Bick '20
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 6 7 8 3 24 George Koser '22
Kamran Kangal '21
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 7 10 6 10 33 Grace Desena '19
Peter Richardson '18
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 10 8 7 8 33 Benjamin Tonks '19
Tristan Britt '20
Duke University Duke University Blue Devils 8 6 11 9 34 Charles York '21
Moriah Taylor '19
Davidson College Davidson College Wildcats 9 9 10 7 35 Jeffrey Sizemore '20 [1-2]
Marshall Brady '20 [3-4]
Benjamin Bricio '22 [1-2]
Sophie Coolidge '22 [3-4]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 11 11 9 11 42 Drew Miller '22 [1-2]
Alex Marshall '20 [3-4]
John Deason '22 [1-2]
Sean Dolan '22 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers1133
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3355
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2244
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats4466
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils5577
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs881111
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets6688
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels991212
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack7799
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks111111
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers121222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers2244
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars4466
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers3355
Davidson CollegeDavidson College Wildcats5577
Duke UniversityDuke University Blue Devils6688
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs991212
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets7799
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels111111
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack881111
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks121222
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers1133

Conditions — 09/29/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1020.9 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 87°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.1 kn
avg  ·  max 7.7 kn
Gusts to 15.9 kn
From ENE (72°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine8.2 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1020.9 hPa Rain0.09 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at U South Carolina: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.17 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at U South Carolina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at U South Carolina, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →