Baldwin Wood

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of New Orleans University of New Orleans New Orleans 88
2 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave 109
3 Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave Women 115
4 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 125
5 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 132
6 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 214
7 Baylor University Baylor University Bears 300
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave A 3 1 4 2 2 1 1 7 6 4 31 Caelan Watts '21
Katherine Cartiglia '21
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies B 1 4 3 6 1 3 4 3 5 1 31 Harrison Lack '22 [1-10]
Justin Tirpak '20 [1-5, 7-8, 10]
Noora Qassim '22 [6, 9]
University of New Orleans University of New Orleans New Orleans A 4 8 2 3 7 2 3 1 1 6 37 Ricky Welch '23
Bryon Callahan '21
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 A 2 5 1 7 3 7 6 8 3 2 44 Ota Dvorak '22 [1-10]
Lillian Andersen '21 [1-5]
Gabriella Wong '20 [6-10]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave Women A 8 2 5 1 11 4 7 2 2 5 47 Cam Farrah '23
Josephine Larkin '20
University of New Orleans University of New Orleans New Orleans B 5 3 7 9 6 5 2 4 7 3 51 Reed Menszer '23
Ian Scholl '21
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave Women B 7 10 6 8 4 9 8 5 4 7 68 Katherine Byrnes '21 [1-5]
Alanna Austin '21 [6-10]
Isabella Bentz '24 [1-5]
Tulane University Tulane University Green Wave B 6 6 9 10 8 6 5 9 8 11 78 Erik Schumann '22 [1-5]
Kit Stoll '23 [6-10]
Stephen Hahn '20 [1-5]
William Hoover '20 [6-10]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 B 11 7 8 4 5 10 11 12 11 9 88 John Mason '23 [1-10]
Thomas Norman '23 [1-5]
Makayla Vasek '22 [6-10]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies A 12 11 11 5 9 11 9 6 10 10 94 Joseph Rogalski '19
Wes Sholders '21
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 A 9 9 12 12 10 8 10 11 DSQ 8 104 Frederik Winguth '21 [1-10]
Mckenzie Kotara '21 [1-5]
Warren Wegener '23 [6-10]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 B 10 12 10 11 12 12 12 10 9 12 110 Clayton Lawrence '20 [1-10]
Vojtech Pavlis '22 [1-5]
Etienne Black '23 [6-8]
Allie Gretzinger '21 [9-10]
Baylor University Baylor University Bears A DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 150 No Show
No Show
Baylor University Baylor University Bears B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 150 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Baylor UniversityBaylor University Bears5555555555
University of New OrleansUniversity of New Orleans New Orleans9999999999
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 111111111111111111111
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 213131313131313131313
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies7777777777
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave1111111111
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave Women3333333333

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Baylor UniversityBaylor University Bears6666666666
University of New OrleansUniversity of New Orleans New Orleans10101010101010101010
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 112121212121212121212
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 214141414141414141414
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies8888888888
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave2222222222
Tulane UniversityTulane University Green Wave Women4444444444
School / Team SkipperCrew
Baylor University Baylor University No Show No Show
Bears No Show No Show
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Joseph Rogalski '19 Wes Sholders '21
Aggies Harrison Lack '22 [1-10] Justin Tirpak '20 [1-5, 7-8, 10]
Noora Qassim '22 [6, 9]
Tulane University Tulane University Caelan Watts '21 Katherine Cartiglia '21
Green Wave Erik Schumann '22 [1-5]
Kit Stoll '23 [6-10]
Stephen Hahn '20 [1-5]
William Hoover '20 [6-10]
Tulane University Tulane University Cam Farrah '23 Josephine Larkin '20
Green Wave Women Katherine Byrnes '21 [1-5]
Alanna Austin '21 [6-10]
Isabella Bentz '24 [1-5]
University of New Orleans University of New Orleans Ricky Welch '23 Bryon Callahan '21
New Orleans Reed Menszer '23 Ian Scholl '21
University of Texas University of Texas Ota Dvorak '22 [1-10] Lillian Andersen '21 [1-5]
Gabriella Wong '20 [6-10]
Longhorns 1 John Mason '23 [1-10] Thomas Norman '23 [1-5]
Makayla Vasek '22 [6-10]
University of Texas University of Texas Frederik Winguth '21 [1-10] Mckenzie Kotara '21 [1-5]
Warren Wegener '23 [6-10]
Longhorns 2 Clayton Lawrence '20 [1-10] Vojtech Pavlis '22 [1-5]
Etienne Black '23 [6-8]
Allie Gretzinger '21 [9-10]

Conditions — 10/12/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1017.7 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 12.0 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From N (9°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1017.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tulane: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.15 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tulane by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (38 labelled days at Tulane).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →