Emma Biagioni

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 26 20 46
2 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 30 41 71
3 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 43 31 74
4 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 41 38 79
5 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 50 85 135
6 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 68 67 135
7 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 1 80 66 146
8 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 93 99 192
9 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 2 102 93 195
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1 1 1 1 4 3 3 2 2 1 RDG 5 26 Thomas Szymanski '22
Collin Kemper '22
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 5 3 6 3 1 1 1 3 1 3 2 1 30 Mitchell Irwin '22 [1-4]
Liam Walz '21 [5-12]
Audrey Whitaker '23 [1-4]
Mitchell Irwin '22 [5-12]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 3 2 2 5 2 4 4 5 3 5 4 2 41 Solomon Dworsky '21
Mia Peterson '22
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 5 4 4 5 2 2 4 4 4 3 4 43 Ryan O'Connor '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Christiana Scheibner '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Lily Allen '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Annabel Edwards '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 4 6 3 2 3 6 7 6 7 2 1 3 50 Henry Westlind '23 [1-12]
Samantha Volkmar '22 [1-2]
Ian Butenello '23 [3-4, 9-12]
Tyler Stroh '23 [5-8]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 6 4 5 6 6 7 6 1 6 7 7 7 68 Eva Rossell '23
Corinne Nedeau '22
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 1 7 7 8 8 7 5 5 8 5 6 8 6 80 Grace Goszkowicz '22 [1-12]
Charles Soucey '22 [1-2]
Emily Atwell '23 [3-12]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 8 9 7 7 8 8 8 7 9 8 6 8 93 Joshua Spano '21
Taylor Marshall '21
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 2 9 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 9 5 9 102 Conor Burns '21
Elize Posthumus '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 2 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 4 1 1 20 Nicholas Peluchiwski '22
Kelsey Kennedy '22
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 3 2 3 1 2 5 3 4 1 2 4 31 Samuel Ephraim '22
Isabel Dziuba '23
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 4 4 4 4 5 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 38 Emma Turner '23
Jack Killian '23
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 3 1 3 2 4 6 3 5 2 2 8 2 41 Ryan Higgins '20
Zakary Colvin '23
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 1 5 6 7 5 6 4 8 4 5 5 5 6 66 Nina Mcalvey '20 [1-12]
Marta Westlund '22 [1-8]
Andrew Barce '22 [9-12]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 6 5 5 7 3 5 4 7 7 6 4 8 67 Robert Gustke '21 [1-12]
Matthew Higgins '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Katelyn Evans '22 [3-4, 7-12]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 8 9 6 6 9 9 6 8 6 7 6 5 85 Nicole Fassnacht '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Hannah Hopf '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Hannah Hopf '20 [1-2]
Joey Robbins '23 [3-6, 9-10]
Samantha Volkmar '22 [7-8, 11-12]
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 2 9 8 9 8 7 8 7 6 9 8 7 7 93 Jake Overbeck '22 [1-8]
Reese Yount '21 [9-12]
Kayla Walker '22 [1-8]
Emma Johnson '20 [9-12]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 7 7 8 9 8 7 9 9 8 9 9 9 99 Anastasia Sikkila '22 [1-8]
Braden Krupiczewicz '21 [9-12]
Gabby Hullinger '22 [1-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers113355779922
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen 1224466881133
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen 2335577992244
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles446688113355
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines779922446688
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans557799224466
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats668811335577
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish881133557799
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos992244668811

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers224466881133
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen 1335577992244
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen 2446688113355
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles557799224466
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines881133557799
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans668811335577
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats779922446688
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish992244668811
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos113355779922
School / Team SkipperCrew
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Mitchell Irwin '22 [1-4]
Liam Walz '21 [5-12]
Audrey Whitaker '23 [1-4]
Mitchell Irwin '22 [5-12]
Lakers Ryan Higgins '20 Zakary Colvin '23
Hope College Hope College Grace Goszkowicz '22 [1-12] Charles Soucey '22 [1-2]
Emily Atwell '23 [3-12]
Flying Dutchmen 1 Nina Mcalvey '20 [1-12] Marta Westlund '22 [1-8]
Andrew Barce '22 [9-12]
Hope College Hope College Conor Burns '21 Elize Posthumus '20
Flying Dutchmen 2 Jake Overbeck '22 [1-8]
Reese Yount '21 [9-12]
Kayla Walker '22 [1-8]
Emma Johnson '20 [9-12]
Marquette University Marquette University Solomon Dworsky '21 Mia Peterson '22
Golden Eagles Emma Turner '23 Jack Killian '23
Michigan State University Michigan State University Eva Rossell '23 Corinne Nedeau '22
Spartans Robert Gustke '21 [1-12] Matthew Higgins '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Katelyn Evans '22 [3-4, 7-12]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Henry Westlind '23 [1-12] Samantha Volkmar '22 [1-2]
Ian Butenello '23 [3-4, 9-12]
Tyler Stroh '23 [5-8]
Wildcats Nicole Fassnacht '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Hannah Hopf '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Hannah Hopf '20 [1-2]
Joey Robbins '23 [3-6, 9-10]
Samantha Volkmar '22 [7-8, 11-12]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Ryan O'Connor '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Christiana Scheibner '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Lily Allen '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Annabel Edwards '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Wolverines Samuel Ephraim '22 Isabel Dziuba '23
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Thomas Szymanski '22 Collin Kemper '22
Fighting Irish Nicholas Peluchiwski '22 Kelsey Kennedy '22
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Joshua Spano '21 Taylor Marshall '21
Broncos Anastasia Sikkila '22 [1-8]
Braden Krupiczewicz '21 [9-12]
Gabby Hullinger '22 [1-8]

Conditions — 09/21/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1018.5 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.5 kn
avg  ·  max 14.5 kn
Gusts to 32.1 kn
From SSW (200°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover47% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1018.5 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn · S 18 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Hope: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.36 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hope by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Hope, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →