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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 10 17 27
2 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 26 11 37
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 25 21 46
4 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 31 28 59
5 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 3 45 29 74
6 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 4 54 28 82
7 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 44 41 85
8 University of Nebraska Lincoln University of Nebraska Lincoln Huskers 53 41 94
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 10 Carl Eaton '21
Ella Carlson '21
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 3 6 3 2 4 3 2 2 25 Thomas Kelly '20
Lucas Quinn '23
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 5 3 2 5 2 1 5 3 26 Peter Sauer '20
Anna Thickens '21
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 4 4 4 3 5 6 4 31 Solomon Dworsky '21
Cecilia Dietzler '21
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 4 8 7 3 7 6 4 5 44 Victor Nartovich '21
Sophie Inglis '22
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 3 7 5 5 7 5 7 3 6 45 Jack Rickman '22
Jenna Pleshek '20
University of Nebraska Lincoln University of Nebraska Lincoln Huskers 6 2 8 8 6 8 8 7 53 Chase Blum '22
Dominic Naughtin '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 4 8 7 6 6 8 4 7 8 54 Matthew Granstrom '21
Morgan Cardosi '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 1 1 4 3 1 1 11 Jack Barnes '21
Noah Hallerman '23
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 3 2 5 1 2 4 17 Clara Brown '22
Cassandra Trask '20
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 4 3 2 2 3 7 21 Ella Reinemann '23
Benjamin Weinstein '23
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 2 4 8 7 4 3 28 Etain Mckinney '22
John Condit '22
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 4 6 5 6 4 5 2 28 Kendall Van Horne '20
Meara Cline '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 3 5 7 1 5 6 5 29 Erin Bouton '22
Madeline Jones '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 2 7 6 7 8 7 6 41 Carly Wilfahrt '23
Nicole Nelson '22
University of Nebraska Lincoln University of Nebraska Lincoln Huskers 8 8 3 6 8 8 41 Lucas Keester '23
Clifford O'Dell '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles1919202021212222
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 12020212122222323
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 22121222223232424
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 32222232324242525
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 42323242425252626
University of Nebraska LincolnUniversity of Nebraska Lincoln Huskers2424252526261919
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 12525262619192020
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 22626191920202121

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles232324242525
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 1242425252626
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 2252526261919
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 3262619192020
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers 4191920202121
University of Nebraska LincolnUniversity of Nebraska Lincoln Huskers202021212222
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 1212122222323
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 2222223232424

Conditions — 09/14/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1016.6 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From SE (139°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover76% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1016.6 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 12 kn · S 5 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Minnesota: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Minnesota by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Minnesota, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →