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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Purple 12 13 25
2 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Gold 19 19 38
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 24 21 45
4 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 36 30 66
5 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 34 33 67
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 17 51 68
7 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 41 30 71
8 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 44 34 78
9 Vikings Vikings Vikings 43 43 86
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Purple 5 2 2 1 1 1 12 Nathaniel Gordon '20 [1-6]
Aidan Kemper '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Mejak Jones '21 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 4 1 4 3 3 2 17 Niko Twilla '21
Emily Beseris '24
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Gold 3 3 3 4 2 4 19 Austin Hauter '21
Aidan Urbano '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 6 5 1 2 7 3 24 Camille Ottaway '20
Madelyn Carr '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 1 6 9 7 6 5 34 Gabriel Sanchez '21
Steven Dieleman '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 9 4 6 6 4 7 36 Fraser Buck '23 [1-2]
Lukas Koch '21 [3-6]
Anthony Clark '21 [1-2]
Iain Betts '23 [3-4]
Michelle Martindale '23 [5-6]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 7 7 8 8 5 6 41 Yumi-Shika Shridhar '20
Cece Nielsen '23
Vikings Vikings Vikings 2 8 7 9 8 9 43
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 8 9 5 5 9 8 44 Carter Dojan '20
Hayley Rawden '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Purple 3 3 1 2 1 3 13 Zackery Martin '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Emilia Garcia Bompadre '23 [3-4]
Avery Wolf '21 [1-2, 5-6]
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Gold 7 1 4 4 2 1 19 John Kauffman '22
Amelia Kau '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 6 2 3 3 5 2 21 Amber Crabb '20 [1-6]
Cooper Snell '23 [1-2]
Emily Hammond '20 [3-6]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 1 6 5 7 7 4 30 Michelle Martindale '23 [1-2]
Anthony Clark '21 [3-4]
Iain Betts '23 [5-6]
Liam Bonnoe '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Fraser Buck '23 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 4 5 2 5 4 OCS 30 Emily Tan '20
Reilly Berkshire '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 5 8 6 1 8 5 33 Emily Clark '23
Guillaume Claude '22
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 2 4 8 8 6 6 34 Maxwell Dodd '23 [1-6]
Eddie Nosal '23 [1-2]
Benjamin Fly-Rinker '23 [3-6]
Vikings Vikings Vikings DNS DNS 7 6 3 7 43
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 8 7 9 9 DNF 8 51 Peter Stiassny '22
Izabella Mathias '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
VikingsVikings Vikings787878787878
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 1858585858585
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 2888888888888
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Gold821821821821821821
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Purple868686868686

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
VikingsVikings Vikings787878787878
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 1858585858585
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 2888888888888
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Gold821821821821821821
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Purple868686868686

Conditions — 11/23/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1016.1 hPa

Temperature

41°F
↑ 45°F   ↓ 34°F
Feels like 35°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.7 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 11.5 kn
From SE (129°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover91% Sunshine4.3 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1016.1 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 4 kn · S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.40 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →