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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Cincinnati University of Cincinnati Bearcats 20 14 34
2 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 16 22 38
3 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 28 30 58
4 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 36 38 74
5 CSU Sailing CSU Sailing CSU Sailing 48 33 81
6 University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 46 63 109
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 1 3 2 2 1 1 3 1 2 16 Luke Koerschner '23
Aidan King '25
University of Cincinnati University of Cincinnati Bearcats 2 1 3 1 2 2 4 2 3 20 Ethan Gallagher '23
Reid Knox '23
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 4 2 1 3 5 4 1 4 4 28 Crown Steiner '23
Jackie Clark '24
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 5 4 6 4 4 3 2 3 5 36 Suzanne Ackley '25 [1-4]
Genevieve Huber '25 [5-9]
Gavin Mcmullen '23 [1-4]
Lauren Oskam '24 [5-9]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets 3 5 4 5 3 5 DNF DNS DNS 46 Jayson Miller '22
Carly Fraker '23
CSU Sailing CSU Sailing CSU Sailing 6 6 5 6 6 6 DNF 5 1 48
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Cincinnati University of Cincinnati Bearcats 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 2 1 14 Blake Salisbury '22
Jack Gardner '22
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 3 5 2 2 3 2 2 1 2 22 Naveen Kumanan '23
Matthew Higgins '22
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 5 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 30 Siri Schantz '23 [1-9]
Carly Wisner '25 [1-2]
Lauren Wise '25 [3-4]
Christopher Ford '23 [5-6]
Miles Bryant '24 [7-9]
CSU Sailing CSU Sailing CSU Sailing 4 2 4 DNF 2 5 1 4 4 33
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 2 4 5 4 5 4 4 5 5 38 David Jones '22 [1-4]
Andrew Sunderman '22 [5-9]
Remington Taylor '25 [1-4]
Joshua Durst '22 [5-9]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Rockets DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 63 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of CincinnatiUniversity of Cincinnati Bearcats776644776
CSU SailingCSU Sailing CSU Sailing664477664
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks003388003
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans447766447
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats338800338
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets880033880

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of CincinnatiUniversity of Cincinnati Bearcats880033880
CSU SailingCSU Sailing CSU Sailing003388003
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks447766447
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans338800338
Ohio UniversityOhio University Bobcats776644776
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Rockets664477664
School / Team SkipperCrew
Miami University Miami University Suzanne Ackley '25 [1-4]
Genevieve Huber '25 [5-9]
Gavin Mcmullen '23 [1-4]
Lauren Oskam '24 [5-9]
Red Hawks David Jones '22 [1-4]
Andrew Sunderman '22 [5-9]
Remington Taylor '25 [1-4]
Joshua Durst '22 [5-9]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Luke Koerschner '23 Aidan King '25
Spartans Naveen Kumanan '23 Matthew Higgins '22
Ohio University Ohio University Crown Steiner '23 Jackie Clark '24
Bobcats Siri Schantz '23 [1-9] Carly Wisner '25 [1-2]
Lauren Wise '25 [3-4]
Christopher Ford '23 [5-6]
Miles Bryant '24 [7-9]
University of Cincinnati University of Cincinnati Ethan Gallagher '23 Reid Knox '23
Bearcats Blake Salisbury '22 Jack Gardner '22
University of Toledo University of Toledo Jayson Miller '22 Carly Fraker '23
Rockets No Show No Show

Conditions — 09/11/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1018.6 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.7 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 24.9 kn
From SSW (195°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover33% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1018.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Miami University: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.31 ± 0.36)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Miami University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Miami University, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →