Frye Street Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 3 12 12 24
2 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 11 17 28
3 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 19 14 33
4 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 22 15 37
5 University of Maine University of Maine Black Bears 24 18 42
6 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 1 28 35 63
7 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 32 33 65
8 Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 32 36 68
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 2 1 4 2 11 Preston Anderson '22 [1-5]
Lucas Johnson '22 [1-4]
Caleb Adams-Hull '23 [5]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 3 7 1 2 1 1 12 Jack Valentino '22
Courtney Tally '23
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 3 3 7 2 4 19 Greta Shuster '25
Maggie Forger '25
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 4 6 3 3 6 22 Nicholas Leshaw '22
Maya Saterson '22
University of Maine University of Maine Black Bears 1 7 4 5 7 24 Alexander Drago '23
Shannon Thompson '24
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 1 6 8 5 6 3 28 Kieran Small '24
Harry Stevenson '24
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 5 5 6 8 8 32 Victor Lomba '25
Dominic Ioime '23
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 8 4 8 7 5 32 Gabriel Tamayo '23
Edward Tyler '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 3 2 1 3 1 5 12 Ted Lutton '24
Claudia Mabley '24
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 1 4 1 4 4 14 Cameron Frary '24
Ryan Standaert '24
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 4 2 6 2 1 15 Penelope Weekes '25
Robin Potter '25
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 5 4 3 2 17 Alex Kitay '23
Katharine Kurtz '24
University of Maine University of Maine Black Bears 5 3 2 5 3 18 John Holt '23
Cully Richard '22
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 7 7 5 6 8 33 Samuel Honor '25
Jyalu Wu '22
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 1 6 8 7 7 7 35 Charlotte Maffie '25
Samantha Gamber '25
Wentworth Institute of Technology Wentworth Institute of Technology Leopards 8 6 8 8 6 36 Andrew Collins '25
Matthew Yoder '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 111112
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 222223
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 333334
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44445
University of MaineUniversity of Maine Black Bears66667
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers55556
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards77778
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech88881

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 111112
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 222223
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 333334
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44445
University of MaineUniversity of Maine Black Bears66667
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers55556
Wentworth Institute of TechnologyWentworth Institute of Technology Leopards77778
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech88881

Conditions — 09/19/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1020.7 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 22.2 kn
From N (3°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1020.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Bates: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bates by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Bates, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →